Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

VIX has become obsolete, and institutional investors agree. The increasing use of 0DTE options has affected its ability to accurately reflect market volatility. So, the CBOE has launched the VIX1D as...

One of the most common perspectives that I have seen in the market through my investing career is the old adage that is often repeated by Larry Kudlow: “Earnings are the mother’s milk of...

Forecasts of recession seem to be flowing from all corners these days. Still, this week’s initial estimate of economic activity for the first quarter (Apr. 27) is expected to show that growth...

An old adage says investors should “Sell May And Go Away.”The historical analysis suggests summer months of the market tend to be the weakest of the year. The mathematical statistics prove...

The most aggressive central bank tightening cycle for decades is reaching its finale. This is our definitive guide to global central banks as we enter another round of crucial meetings over the next...

We assess this year's market themes against our 2023 outlook calls. Rates remain range-bound, and curves have only steepened moderately, but rates differentials keep narrowing. We expect little...

Inflation continues to head lower, but not at the desired pace. And, as market volatility rises, investors should try and readjust their portfolios. The 60/40 portfolio is a great way to do that as it...

MON: German Ifo Survey (Apr). TUE: Riksbank Announcement, South Korean GDP (Q1), US Richmond Fed Index (Apr), New Zealand Trade Balance (Mar) WED: BoC Minutes, Australian CPI (Mar/Q1), US Durable...

There is a lot of important economic data to look forward to at the end of this week, including the release of GDP figures on Thursday and the PCE on Friday, along with the employment cost index and...

Nowcasting the business cycle isn’t getting any easier. Despite a firehose of data and an expanding list of analytical techniques, benchmarks, and related research at researchers’...

Wall Street fell yesterdayThursday has been a negative day for the US stock market. All three major US indexes reported losses. The S&P 500 finished at -0.60%, the Nasdaq ended the trading session...

What can breakeven inflation rates tell us about oil prices, energy stocks, and market direction? It turns out it’s a lot more than you think.Since 2021, as the impact of an economic shutdown...

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and GOP leaders unveiled a bill that, in theory, temporarily solves the debt-ceiling crisis that’s brewing. In practice, the path ahead is probably no less...

As higher-for-longer gains further traction, yield curves are bear flattening again. Only moderately, though, as risk sentiment holds up with the acute banking crises fading from viewHigher-for-longer...