Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

In yesterday’s post, I profiled my thinking on the big-picture outlook for estimating the risk associated with the debt-ceiling battle that’s brewing in Washington. To round out this...

The US Federal Reserve could soon deliver the last hike of the current cycle. While United States 10-Year yields have seen their peak already, it will need the imminent prospect of rate cuts to...

US yields are rising across the curve but T-bills are at the intersection of a better economic outlook and a debt ceiling. Sterling rates are now offering a pick-up to dollar equivalents. This makes...

The answer relies heavily, perhaps completely, on political calculations. In other words, trying to forecast how the tortured path ahead evolves is only a bit easier than trying to grab fish in a...

Markets are still waiting for the data smoking gun that proves that a recession is coming and that inflation is a problem of the past. Until then, rates should continue to rise toward the top of their...

Good day yesterday for the bulls and the bears, with the S&P500 poised for a breakout and a push towards the 4175 level today. It held the 30m 200ema well at 4128 in the end, and if the bulls can...

S&P 500's market breadth is positive, signaling a bullish outlook for the index. Meanwhile, the 60/40 portfolio continues to make a comeback. Despite this, bearish sentiment continues to remain...

Hedge funds are often called fast or smart money because they are one step ahead of herd market thinking.I am blessed with the opportunity to have several of them as clients, and pick up their brains...

Early this week, Twitter merged with X Corp. as Elon Musk advances his idea of an 'everything app'. We discuss Musk's obsession with 'X' and where it all began and explore some of the potential...

MON: South Korean Trade Balance R (Mar), German Flash GDP (Q1). TUE: RBA Minutes, Chinese GDP (Q1)/ Retail Sales (Mar)/ Industrial Production (Mar), UK Jobs Report (Feb/Mar), US Building Permits...

Wall Street went up yesterdayThursday has been a positive day for the US stock market.All three major US indexes reported profits.The S&P 500 finished flat at +1.33%, the Nasdaq ended the trading...

The Consumer Price Index eased more than expected in March, providing fresh evidence that pricing pressure has peaked and inflation remains on track to decelerate further in the months ahead. The core...

Wall Street fell yesterdayWednesday has been a negative day for the US stock market.All three major US indexes reported losses.The S&P 500 finished flat at -0.41%, the Nasdaq ended the trading...

Gold prices are on the move after the US CPI data has finally eased off and printed the reading of 5% against the expectations of 5.1%. Traders have taken this news as an indicator that the Fed is...