Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

The PCE price index increased by 0.4% vs. an estimated 0.5% monthly. Likewise, the core PCE price index increased by 0.1% vs. an estimated 0.2%. The Fed’s decision to maintain the interest rate within...

US: A government shutdown looks probable UK: Bank of England survey to help cement expectations for a November pause US: A government shutdown looks probable A government shutdown now looks probable...

Week Ahead 2nd-6th October MON: BoJ SOO, Riksbank Minutes, Japanese Tankan Survey (Q3), EZ/UK/US Final Manufacturing PMIs (Sep), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Sep), Chinese Market Holiday (Sep 29-Oct...

The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of our recent report, which discussed the long record of the Fed’s economic growth projections. To wit: “However,...

Greenback to take a breather after 8-weeks long rally; direction remains bullish Similarly, oil could retest $90 Fed actions, bond market shifts, and speculative positions to tell the market direction...

Stocks closed higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 rising by around 60 bps. Bond yields also stabilized, with the 10-year falling by three bps to close about 4.57%. The day saw a lot of volatility...

One thing I’ve stopped worrying very much about is a government shutdown. It could even be a good thing, given the bloated deficit, except for the fact that the government basically keeps spending...

In 60 seconds, US Government Shutdown? How Does it Impact Stocks, Dollar and Gold?

Current selloff in stocks is absolutely normal and expected Despite the declines and investors' overreactions to it, we are still in the green for the year Short-term pain is a key part of the journey...

We recently wrote about why it takes time for higher interest rates to inflict economic damage. We follow that up with a discussion of something equally worrying that also lags Fed rate hikes. A...

Stocks finished yesterday lower by around 1.5% on the S&P 500, while the Nasdaq 100 QQQ declined by about 1.5%. Meanwhile, rates continued to climb, with the 30-year climbing to about 4.69%, as...

This was a very interesting week if you were paying attention. On Tuesday, the market declined and then saw a sizeable rally begin later in the day. Then on Wednesday, the market continued its...

Late last year, and into early 2023, the crowd was all in on the inevitability of a US recession starting in the near future. A Bloomberg headline captured the zeitgeist as the new year dawned: “The...

In 60 seconds, here's my list of 5 Most Important Trading Rules