Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

Recession forecasts for the US continue to swirl, but the risk still looks low from the perspective of expectations for the first-quarter GDP report that’s scheduled for April 27, when the...

Wall Street finished mixed yesterdayMonday has been a positive day for the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 while the Nasdaq closed slightly negative.The S&P 500 finished at +0.1%, the Nasdaq ended...

Despite media headlines, podcasts, and broadcasts suggesting “doom and gloom” lurks around the corner, investor bullishness has increased markedly sincetheOctober lows. This isn’t...

Fear and greed. In Fisher Investments UK’s experience, these emotions can materially influence investors’ market views – and their investment decision-making. We have found allowing...

When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry. But it’s when a recession hits, the Fed cuts rates and the curve steepens that you become s**t scared.Yield curve...

Wall Street went up yesterdayThursday has been a positive day for the US stock market.All three US major indexes closed in profit.The S&P 500 finished at +0.36%, the Nasdaq ended the trading...

Week Ahead April 10-14thMON: Easter Monday - US Markets Open, Japanese Trade Balance (Feb), EZ Sentix Index (Apr). TUE: IMF World Economic Outlook, EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, Chinese Inflation...

I must say that it is discouraging how often I have to write about the Phillips Curve.The Phillips Curve is a very simple idea and a very powerful model. It simply says that when labor is in short...

The expected long-run return for the Global Market Index (GMI) held steady at 6.0% annualized in March, unchanged from last month and close to its trailing performance over the past decade. The...

Asset classes made a comeback in March, led by inflation-indexed government bonds ex-US, based on a set of ETF proxies. The downside outlier: real estate shares in the US and around the world.The...

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Companies providing copy trading services are the subject of a new supervisory briefing from the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU agency in charge of regulating and supervising...

As the Fed tightens monetary policy, a banking crisis is historically the first evidence that something was breaking. As noted recently in “Not QE,” “Last week, amid a rash of bank...

MON: Japanese Tankan Survey (Q1), Caixin Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar), EZ/UK/US Final Manufacturing PMI (Mar), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar). TUE: RBA Announcement, South Korean CPI (Mar), US...