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Judging by the current numbers, the US expansion almost certainly endures. There are well-founded concerns that the tide may be turning, but that’s still a speculative call. By comparison, published...
US stocks took another hit yesterday as the carry trade unwound and the effect was felt in Japan when the Nikkei 225 plunged. Since then, the Nikkei has rebounded 10.2%, almost erasing the 12.4%...
The recent surge in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has captured the attention of traders and investors alike. As of early August 2024, the VIX has soared past 42, reflecting heightened market...
In recent developments, a political action committee (PAC) backed by Elon Musk, named America PAC, is under investigation in Michigan for potential violations of state laws. The Michigan Secretary of...
I always find it fascinating that the the majority of folks do not really appreciate the difference between a Million and a Billion. To illustrate, a Million Seconds is only 11.6 days, while a...
The Sahm Rule is getting airplay, but Sahm is not what I am, it is just one non-exceptional and somewhat lagging indicator of the coming recession. “We are pointed toward recessionary...
The renewable energy sector and electric vehicle (EV) efforts are gaining substantial momentum in the UK, driven by increasing environmental awareness and government policies aimed at reducing carbon...
In this episode, we unpack: Investors and bankers are raising billions for new SPACs. What are they and why are they back in favor? Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON)’s quantum computing spinout, Quantinuum,...
Okay, so there is a spike in the VIX, and in Treasuries, and a drop in Equities- yes, stay on your toes, it’s only August, and Septembers can be rough. Watch your exposure, but don’t panic. Economic...
The July US labour market data has sparked some real concern in markets. Most of the data prints came in worse-than-expected, painting a picture of a slowing US labour market. Average hourly earnings...
Economist Claudia Sahm developed the “Sahm Rule,” which states that the economy is in recession when the unemployment rate’s three-month average is a half percentage point above its 12-month low. As...
US rates down further, three cuts for 2024 priced in The 10-year UST yield breached the symbolic 4% handle for the first time since February, marking growing pessimism about the US economy. Initial...
This year's biggest pivot point for the market may come today. Original Post
The MPC has cut Bank Rate to 5.00% with their latest policy announcement, meeting market expectations, but frustrating our call that had looked for a first rate cut in September. Even so, today’s...
The Bank of England has cut rates by 25 basis points. The call was pretty close, with a 61% chance of a 25bps cut priced in just moments before the decision was announced. The vote split of 5-4 shows...