Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

In a recent Commentary- MicroStrategy Is A Leveraged ETF In Disguise – we discussed the company’s business model, which revolves almost entirely around highly speculative bitcoin and leverage. To...

Light trading in US markets leading up to the Thanksgiving holiday resulted in a slight decline across the major indices after what has been a breathless November, following an election result which...

Markets are entering a seasonally strong period with historical trends favoring bullish outcomes. Rate cut expectations and strong earnings are fueling optimism across asset classes. Key markets,...

The US economy remains on track to end the year with a moderate increase in output, according to the median Q4 GDP estimate based on a set of nowcasts published by several sources. Recession risk, as...

Donald Trump nominated seasoned hedge fund manager Scott Bessent as the next Treasury Secretary. While the Treasury Secretary has many responsibilities, debt management is one of the most important....

It was a strange day, for sure. The Treasury rate fell quite a bit, certainly more than I would have expected given the naming of a Treasury Secretary. Of course, the solid 2-yr auction results at 1...

Last week, we discussed the impact of the Trump Presidency on the financial markets based on expectations of tax cuts, tariffs, and deregulation. Since then, the “Trump Trade” went into full swing,...

The EUR/USD is recovering a little after its mini collapse on Friday. However, further eurozone confidence data this week could still spell trouble and tilt the market towards a 50bp ECB cut in...

Corporate insider trading activity has never been more bearish than it is right now. This should be especially concerning given the fact that aggregate insider activity is one of the best predictors...

Stocks bounced back following last week’s decline, with the S&P 500 rebounding by 1.7%. This week will be short, with US markets closed on Thursday and a half-day on Friday. It will also be...

Following President Trump’s re-election, the S&P 500 has seen an impressive surge, climbing past 6,000 and sparking significant optimism in the financial markets. Unsurprisingly, the rush by...

MON: German Ifo (Nov), US National Activity Index (Oct) TUE: FOMC Minutes (Nov); US New Home Sales (Oct), Richmond Fed (Nov) WED: RBNZ Policy Announcement; Australian CPI (Oct), German GfK (Dec),...

The ongoing rise in continuing claims looks worrisome, but initial claims are telling a considerably more upbeat story. Which one’s the better measure? The positive spin via initial claims is...

US markets rose to varying degrees, with some early bargain hunting in areas away from the technology sector ahead of what could be a new era of growth following the election. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA)'s...