Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Dollar slips after Fed decision, trade worries shackle shares

Published 22/03/2018, 07:47
Updated 22/03/2018, 07:47
© Reuters. An employee of the TSE works at the bourse in Tokyo

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar slipped on Thursday after the Federal Reserve held back from increasing the pace of this year's rate hikes, while worries over an impending announcement on trade tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump capped Asian shares.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) was flat, erasing earlier gains of 0.7 pct. Japan's Nikkei (N225) gained 1.0 percent.

European shares are expected to fall, with spread-betters looking to a lower opening of 0.4 percent in Germany's Dax (GDAXI), 0.2 percent in Britain's FTSE (FTSE) and 0.1 percent in France's Cac (FCHI).

Wall Street stock indexes ended the day lower, with the S&P 500 (SPX) losing 0.18 percent despite a boost from sharp gains in energy shares (SPNY) on rising oil prices.

The Nasdaq (IXIC) dropped 0.26 percent with Apple (O:AAPL) falling below its 100-day average even as Facebook (O:FB) bounced back after two days of steep losses amid a controversy over outside exploitation of its users' data.

The U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday and forecast two more hikes for 2018, based on board members' median projection.

Given that some investors had expected it to project three more rate hikes, the guidance was perceived as less hawkish than anticipated, a positive factor for risk assets in general.

But otherwise the Fed was upbeat on the economy, revising up rate projections for 2019 and 2020 and raising the estimated longer-term "neutral" interest rate a touch, suggesting the current tightening cycle could last for longer than previously thought.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"They also forecast three hikes next year and two more in 2020 and clearly revised up the growth forecast as well," said Norihiro Fujito, senior investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Securities.

"So the picture looks different when you look at longer-term projections. That explains the complicated reaction by markets. The prospects of continued rate hikes may cap shares," he added.

The yield on two-year U.S. notes slipped back to 2.304 percent (US2YT=RR) from 9 1/2-year high of 2.366 percent hit on Wednesday while the 10-year yield dipped to 2.874 percent (US10YT=RR) after an initial spike to 2.936 percent.

That pushed the U.S. dollar lower in the currency market, with the dollar index (DXY) (=USD) testing this month's low after posting its biggest fall in two months on Wednesday.

The euro (EUR=) gained 0.2 percent to $1.2363, extending its recovery from a near three-week low of $1.2240 touched earlier in the week.

The dollar shed up to 0.4 percent to 105.58 yen

The British pound

Strong British wage data published on Wednesday cemented expectations that the Bank of England was likely to signal a May rate hike after its monetary policy meeting later in the day.

Following the Fed's move, the People's Bank of China gingerly raised the seven-day reverse repo rate, a key short-term interest rate, by 5 basis points, to prevent U.S.-China rate differential from getting too wide.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The move was the PBOC's first major policy decision under new Governor Yi Gang, who was appointed by parliament on Monday.

With the Fed meeting over, investors are watching Trump, who is due to sign a memo on imposing tariffs on Chinese imports at 1630 GMT on Thursday.

Concerns about a trade war between the world's two largest economies has put many investors on guard.

U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Wednesday the tariffs would target China's high-technology sector and could also include restrictions on Chinese investment in the United States.

Investors worry such a move could trigger countermeasures by China, possibly causing a vicious cycle of escalating retaliation.

Shares on China's exchanges were lower, the with Shanghai Composite Index (SSEC) slipping as much as 1.2 percent to two-week lows.

"China's equity market is relatively domestic. We estimate that on average more than 80 percent of revenues are generated in China while only a marginal share comes from the U.S. Still, there would be first-order casualties if trade tensions escalated. In the front line would be firms with significant exposure to the U.S., mostly in the tech and consumer

sectors," wrote analysts at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).

In the energy market, oil prices held firm, buoyed by a surprise decline in U.S. crude inventories as well as ongoing supply cuts led by OPEC, although a relentless rise in U.S. oil output threatens to undermine efforts to tighten the market.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures (CLc1) rose to as high as $65.74 per barrel (CLc1), not far from its January peak of $66.66, having gained almost five percent so far this week. It last stood almost flat at $65.13.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

In contrast, copper fell to three-month low of $6,702 per tonne the previous day before bouncing back to $6,817.

Latest comments

56m
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.