Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

Inflation trades are fading and gold (NYSE:GLD) is ascending to its rightful place in the disinflationary macro.The favored plan is working out well as we planned the Q4 (2022) – Q1 (2023) rally...

As portfolio managers, this is the question we ask ourselves daily. Since the lows of last October, the technical backdrop has improved markedly, as we discussed last week: “Our most critical...

MON: PBoC LPR Setting, BoJ Summary of Opinions (Mar), German PPI (Feb), New Zealand Trade Balance (Feb). TUE: RBA Minutes, Japanese Holiday, German ZEW Survey (Mar), Canadian CPI (Feb). WED: FOMC...

Wall Street went up yesterdayThursday has been a positive day for the US stock market.All three major US indexes have closed in profit.The S&P 500 finished at +1.76%, the Nasdaq ended the trading...

The Federal Reserve holds its highly anticipated March FOMC policy meeting next week against an increasingly uncertain economic backdrop. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise interest...

Market pressures on U.S. banks are now spreading to Europe, where the already troubled Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) asked the Swiss government for help and got a liquidity boost.Investors are asking the...

Wall Street finished lower yesterdayOn Wednesday, only the Nasdaq reported a small gain among the major US indexes.The S&P 500 finished at -0.70%, the Nasdaq ended the trading session at +0.05%...

The stock market forever surprises investors, but in the realm of risk, the future’s a bit less uncertain, at least sometimes. That’s hardly a silver bullet, but it helps manage...

Wall Street went up yesterdayTuesday has been a positive day for the US stock market.All three major indexes closed in profit.The S&P 500 finished at +1.65%, the Nasdaq ended the trading session...

Since projecting the Q4-Q1 broad market rally back in November, we have been managing a macro transition within this rally. Based on the leadership of the Semiconductor sector and Tech, it has been...

If a couple of regional banks were so bad at managing their interest rate risk and deposit outflow risk to blow up in a few hours, how can we really be sure other banks won’t face similar...

With the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions of potential “bank runs” spread among regional banks.“Bank runs” are problematic in today’s financial system due to...

SVB failed due to higher interest rates and a liquidity problem Despite the failure, today's situation is different from 2008, with lower bank leverage, safer investments, and Fed support This, in...

Understandably, a lot of inexperienced traders might struggle to survive, let alone thrive, in this market environment. But paradoxically, it is exactly times like now when some experienced traders...