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Mobeen Tahir Director, ResearchIn our recent survey of professional investors in Europe1, around 25% of all respondents said that passive strategies don’t provide expert stock selection. While...
The stock market finished higher yesterday. It was an entertaining day, especially if you understood the background of the sudden and “unexpected” rally, especially heading into OPEX...
I am a risk manager, both literally and figuratively. Literally, since whether it is with our own funds and strategies or allocations for individual investor clients, or with my trading book back when...
Identifying Ranging and Trending MarketsThe challenge for traders and technicians is to define and distinguish between a ranging market and a trending market. This section explores the difficulty...
The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business-conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings.Soon after this monthly survey data was released yesterday (Jan....
Appreciating Apollo’s graph below, comparing recent inflation to multiple bouts of inflation of the late 1960s, 70s, and early 80s is of utmost importance for investors.Sustained levels of high...
The January effect, named for the perceived market anomaly where stock returns in January are higher than in other months, has been a subject of interest since it was first written about in...
2% inflation is coming very soon Why is UK inflation set to fall? Does the UK have a more significant inflation problem than the eurozone? How quickly can the Bank of England cut rates? 2% inflation...
Happy New Year Traders and Investors. Sometimes it seems to me that the pace of life is accelerating from year to year, and this year is shaping up to be no different. I’ve put a lot of thought...
US markets will be closed today, making for another short week. This will be an option expiration week with the VIX on Wednesday and Monthly stock OPEX on Friday.This will open a window for increased...
Week Ahead 15-19th January:SAT: Taiwanese Elections. MON: Iowa Republican Caucuses, Eurogroup Meeting, Davos WEF Begins (15th-19th); Indian WPI (Dec), German Wholesale Price Index (Dec), Swedish CPIF...
US: Retail sales are likely to have grown solidly in December Even though the December jobs and inflation numbers came in somewhat hotter than expected, financial markets continue to gun for rate...
In the most recent BLS employment report, the percentage of full-time jobs relative to the population dropped sharply.The robust headline number of 216,000 led most media commentators to suggest a...
I’m changing the way I do the monthly CPI analysis. Doing it live for an audience was always stressful, especially with the inevitable data issues from time to time.Of course, as an inflation...
After a gentle disinflationary easing (Goldilocks), the bond market is hinting at an inflationary steepening of the 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread.A yield curve can steepen under inflationary or...