Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

In this episode, we unpack: Investors and bankers are raising billions for new SPACs. What are they and why are they back in favor?  Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON)’s quantum computing spinout, Quantinuum,...

US markets endured another bruising session as a feeble jobs report escalated recessionary fears, resulting in moments of mayhem elsewhere. The non-farm payrolls report showed that just 114000 jobs...

Okay, so there is a spike in the VIX, and in Treasuries, and a drop in Equities- yes, stay on your toes, it’s only August, and Septembers can be rough. Watch your exposure, but don’t panic. Economic...

The July US labour market data has sparked some real concern in markets. Most of the data prints came in worse-than-expected, painting a picture of a slowing US labour market. Average hourly earnings...

Economist Claudia Sahm developed the “Sahm Rule,” which states that the economy is in recession when the unemployment rate’s three-month average is a half percentage point above its 12-month low. As...

US rates down further, three cuts for 2024 priced in The 10-year UST yield breached the symbolic 4% handle for the first time since February, marking growing pessimism about the US economy. Initial...

The MPC has cut Bank Rate to 5.00% with their latest policy announcement, meeting market expectations, but frustrating our call that had looked for a first rate cut in September. Even so, today’s...

The Bank of England has cut rates by 25 basis points. The call was pretty close, with a 61% chance of a 25bps cut priced in just moments before the decision was announced. The vote split of 5-4 shows...

Post FOMC: The 2yr and 10yr are still heading to 4% in anticipation of a first cut by September The edge higher in yields post the FOMC statement is understandable. Into the meeting, the 10-year...

Not everybody is an options trader, but during an election year there is at least one binary option that most of us care quite a bit about and that’s the option on the US Presidency. There are ways...

Inflation in the Eurozone rose once again in July. Preliminary data released this morning showed headline CPI rising 2.6% in the twelve months to July, higher than the 2.5% reported in June. Analysts...

As we had expected, the BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.25% and announced the JGB purchases would be halved by 1Q26. The growth outlook was trimmed modestly for FY24 while the inflation outlook...

The Fed's July policy meeting is set to be a pivotal moment for markets, with expectations of holding rates steady while signaling a potential rate cut in September. Recent data showing cooling...

The 2 day Fed meeting begins today. Here's a look at how has the US economy changed since the June Fed meeting. Does it justify a green light for a September interest rate cut by the Federal...