Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

We could see pressure building for additional monetary tightening in some APAC economies in the coming week. Meanwhile, North Asia (ex-China) delivers the monthly activity data dump which should show...

Recession talk for the US is on the march again. Although there’s still room for debate on the near-term business-cycle outlook, some indicators are highlighting decelerating growth that could be the...

UK CPI dropped to 2% in May. This is a significant milestone after almost two years of hyperinflation. Many will question whether this means the Bank of England (BoE) can start cutting rates. Whilst...

Core and Median inflation continue to decline. This is not really a surprise; since early 2023 the clear direction has been to lower inflation. The debate has not been about whether inflation was...

The latest consumer survey data from the New York Federal Reserve had interesting data. “The New York Fed’s latest consumer survey found that expectations that stocks will be higher in the next 12...

Investing with the ability to predict the future is a tantalising notion, one that has almost become a Hollywood trope. How many movies or TV shows feature characters who amass wealth using future...

This week, global markets were abuzz with two major events: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report Federal Reserve's latest policy announcement In this episode, we delve into each release and share...

Will the Bank of England cut rates on Thursday? Markets overwhelmingly think the answer to this question is no. The swaps curve is pricing barely a 5% chance of a rate cut. Much of that is down to...

The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged in June as expected. The updated economic projections and dot-plot chart see the central bank continuing to push back on rate cuts. 

Stocks finished higher after the CPI report fell below analysts’ expectations and swap pricing. The CPI headline y/y and m/m missed swap pricing, something we haven’t seen frequently in recent...

A surprise 0.2% MoM core CPI inflation print after a similar reading for April core PCE deflator offers good news for the Fed in its fight to ease price pressures. This needs to become the trend...

The CPI report for May was definitely good news. In April, core CPI was +0.29% and Median CPI was +0.35%; this month those figures were +0.16% for core and +0.25% (est) for median. That would be the...

Investors are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision after better-than-expected May CPI. All eyes are now on Powell's press conference after the decision. Investors should now be...