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A lot can happen over the course of a week when it comes to the crowd’s fickle sentiment du jour on matters of recession. At this time a week ago the headlines warned that a contraction, if it hadn’t...
I was recently asked about the seemingly strong “economic growth” rate as the Federal Reserve prepares to start cutting rates. “If economic growth is so strong, as noted by the recent GDP report,...
Stocks kept rising because retail sales and jobless claims data were better than expected. This is the second week in a row that stocks have jumped after a good jobless claims report. I’m not sure if...
Last week, I wrote an article entitled “Reasons For A Crash.” And, I will let you in on a little secret – I actually wrote that title as a test. You see, I assumed that the great majority of those...
Stocks were mostly flat to slightly up yesterday, with the S&P 500 getting a boost in the last 10 minutes due to a big closing imbalance. Other than that, it was a pretty quiet day. The CPI...
It was only a few months ago (with the March CPI report in April) that I was talking about a ‘Potential Pony Situation’ in my podcast when, after an unsettling Core CPI, I pointed out that the Median...
Markets are bracing for a key CPI report today. This data comes amid growing recession fears after weak labor market data. A lower-than-expected print could drive a stock rally, but a...
Stocks finished the day higher yesterday after a weaker-than-expected PPI report. Although rates fell, it didn’t result in a significant yield curve steepening, and the dollar was only slightly...
Just over a month has gone by since the latest CPI data was released in the US and so much has happened since. Markets endured what is possibly the biggest scare since the pandemic, but the economic...
US markets struggled for direction ahead of what could be a defining week, when further clues on inflation and retail sales will be revealed. It remains to be seen whether the virtually flat line...
The S&P 500 ended the day unchanged, held steady by Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) 4% surge. Despite Nvidia's strong performance, the broader market struggled, with 342 stocks declining versus just 159...
Last Monday, global equities and digital assets underwent a dramatic selloff as the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade rattled markets. The S&P Global Broad Market Index (BMI), which...
The European and US markets are rapidly progressing, shedding all the worries from the previous week's price action. Traders are eager to seize bargains, while others maintain the belief that the...
To no one’s surprise, volatility has returned in a big way, and if the typical market playbooks of the past 30 years continue to work, then what we have seen regarding the yen carry trade to this...
Ask economists how they forecast economic activity. It’s likely they will mention productivity, demographics, debt, the Fed, interest rates, and a litany of other elements. Economic confidence is...