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Can Nasdaq, Russel 2000 Sustain Their Breakouts This Week?

Published 30/01/2023, 04:36
Updated 09/07/2023, 11:31

Friday was a clear victory for the Nasdaq Composite Index with a breakout to go along with higher volume accumulation and a close above the 200-day MA. Nasdaq technicals retained their net positivity and it will take a sharp loss Monday or Tuesday to undo this positivity. Step by step, this nascent cyclical bull market grows in strength.

Nasdaq Composite Daily Chart

The S&P 500 has edged closer to a breakout of its own. It now finds itself up against resistance and close to negating the 'black' candlestick from December. Technicals continued to improve, although the index is still underperforming relative to the Russell 2000.

S&P 500 Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 retained its breakout, this time, doing so with a candlestick that negated the bearish implications of Thursday's 'black' candlestick. Volume rose to register as accumulation, although the index lost further ground relative to the Nasdaq. Despite this, growth stocks look to be in good shape.

Russell 2000 Daily Chart

With the Nasdaq and Russell 2000, the once-leading Dow Jones Index has slipped back a little. The index remains range-bound, but technicals are net positive and Friday is registered as an accumulation day. Should the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq continue to gain, then I would expect the Dow Jones (and S&P 500) to follow suit.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Daily Chart

With the Nasdaq performing strongly, we have the Semiconductors in assistance. Attempts by sellers to reverse the breakout have so far, failed. Technicals are net bullish and semiconductors are outperforming the Nasdaq 100. It's a solid setup and has the added benefit of a 'golden cross' between 50-day and 200-day MAs.

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Daily Chart

With markets continuing to improve the one thing to watch for are 'bull traps`; i.e a reversal of recent breakouts with a close below breakout support. Until this happens, bulls remain in control as new - larger bases (building off all-time highs) - take shape.

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