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JPMorgan bullish on TPG RE Finance stock after portfolio de-risking

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 17/10/2024, 10:52
TRTX
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On Thursday, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) made a bullish move on TPG RE Finance Trust (NYSE:TRTX), upgrading the stock from Neutral to Overweight. The firm also increased the price target to $9.50 from the previous $9.00.

The upgrade was prompted by the company's successful efforts to de-risk its portfolio, specifically by addressing its risk-rated 5 loans and resolving real estate-owned (REO) assets.

The analyst from JPMorgan noted that TPG RE Finance Trust has achieved a portfolio that is now 100% performing, indicating that all loans are currently meeting their payment obligations. This milestone is seen as a significant improvement in the company's financial health and risk profile.

According to the analyst, the current trading price of TPG RE Finance Trust represents a substantial discount to its book value (BV). This gap between the market price and the company's book value is seen as an opportunity for investors, as the stock is perceived to be undervalued.

The optimism from JPMorgan is rooted in the belief that the steps taken by TPG RE Finance Trust to address and resolve high-risk loans and REOs have effectively positioned the company for a positive trajectory. The analyst's comments suggest confidence in the potential for the stock's value to increase moving forward.

TPG RE Finance Trust's efforts to improve its portfolio's performance appear to have resonated with JPMorgan, leading to a more favorable outlook on the stock. The new Overweight rating and higher price target reflect the firm's assessment that the risk/reward balance for TPG RE Finance Trust is now tilted towards the upside.

In other recent news, TPG Real Estate Finance Trust (TRTX) reported a strong performance for the second quarter of 2024. The company's solid Q2 results were supported by a resilient U.S. economy and financial markets. TRTX's strategic approach to maintaining liquidity and managing risk has resulted in a well-performing portfolio with no delinquent loans.

The company also highlighted a growing investment pipeline, significant loan repayments, and a focus on multifamily property investments as key factors in their success.

The company ended the quarter with a 2:1 debt-to-equity ratio and $389.4 million in cash and near-term liquidity. TRTX received $186 million in loan repayments, with a significant portion from office loans, and funded a $96 million multifamily loan.

Despite an 11.9% rise in share price in Q2, TRTX did not repurchase any shares, attributing this decision to a significant increase in share price over the first half of the year.

These recent developments indicate that TRTX is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities in the real estate credit market, with expectations of an increase in loan repayments, especially in multifamily properties, as capital markets improve.

The company also anticipates net portfolio growth in the coming periods. However, TRTX is still considering alternative business plans for office properties in Houston, New York, and California that are only breaking even.

InvestingPro Insights

The recent upgrade by JPMorgan aligns with several key insights from InvestingPro. TPG RE Finance Trust's (NYSE:TRTX) successful de-risking efforts have not gone unnoticed by the market, as evidenced by the stock's impressive performance. InvestingPro data shows a substantial 51.08% total return over the past year, with a notable 25.78% gain in the last six months alone.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts anticipate sales growth for TRTX in the current year, which could further support the positive outlook. Additionally, the company pays a significant dividend to shareholders, with a current dividend yield of 11.11% according to InvestingPro data. This high yield could be particularly attractive to income-focused investors.

The JPMorgan analyst's observation about TRTX trading at a discount to book value is corroborated by InvestingPro data, which shows a price-to-book ratio of 0.62. This metric supports the notion that the stock may be undervalued, aligning with the analyst's bullish stance.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for TRTX, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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