🎈 Up Big Today: Find today's biggest gainers (some over 50%!) with our free screenerTry Stock Screener

Nasdaq and Russell 2000 Break Channels, S&P 500 Holds Firm: What's Ahead?

Published 11/08/2023, 08:31
US500
-
US2000
-
IWM
-
IXIC
-

Bears were able to fire a shot across the bow of bulls with existing rallies for the likes of the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq slowed by channel breaks. While the breaks might be seen as bearish, more likely, these will represent a shift to a sideways trading range rather than a straight bearish reversal.

The Russell 2000 has confirmed a break from its channel, but realistically, this channel has only been running since May, and breakout support around $188s is more important. Today's volume ranked as distribution and technicals are net bearish, but with the 50-day MA nearby, I would view this with a degree of optimism.

IWM Daily Chart

The Nasdaq may have a more significant break, although it only barely closed outside of channel support. Despite this, the index is holding on to 50-day MA support, and one strong day of buying would be enough to push this back inside the channel.

If this proves to be the case, then it may be necessary to redraw the bullish support line. As with the Russell 2000, technicals are net bearish. I'm not too concerned with the channel break at the moment.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P 500 is the only index not to rock the boat with a channel breakdown. Because of this, it's still holding on to overall bullish technicals, despite 'sell' triggers in the MACD and On-Balance-Volume. Today's trading volume was also light. The 50-day MA is running alongside channel support that should help bulls.

SPX Daily Chart

While the week isn't up yet, I'll finish with the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) weekly chart. Once again, we had a rebuttal off $196 resistance, a supply level running back to last summer. If the index can close a weak above this price, it would go a long way to driving the next (powerful) phase of the rally. 

IWM Weekly Chart

Let's see what tomorrow brings. With holiday trading in full swing, I'm not expecting any major acceleration lower despite today's breaks. As we get closer to September, we can start to see more typical trading volume. 

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.