Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

The election of Donald Trump as US president has given a boost to the markets in the US and triggered large price gains for certain companies. While share prices in the banking and steel sectors and...

MON: US Holiday: Veterans Day. BoJ SOO (Oct), BoC SLOS; Norwegian CPI (Oct) TUE: Fed SLOOS, OPEC MOMR; German CPI (Final), ZEW (Nov), UK Unemployment/Weekly Earnings (Sep), US NFIB (Oct) WED:...

Donald Trump won the election by a clearer and wider margin than what was expected, and the Republicans gained control of the Senate. In the short-term, we believe this outcome is likely to be...

The prospect of a Trump presidency has led to much debate and speculation about how markets might react. Depending on what policies are eventually passed, there are potential risks and opportunities...

The latest UK government budget, which saw big tax rises but even bigger spending increases projected for 2025-26, has forced markets to rethink Bank of England expectations. Rates are expected to...

The Fed cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps yesterday as widely expected. We expected it as well, though we still believe that the now 75bps cut in the FFR since September 18 is too much, too...

Labour market data are a seemingly intuitive way to understand the economy. If employment is up and unemployment is down, economic conditions are positive, and vice versa. Because of labour data’s...

Elections have consequences and so Donald Trump’s return to the White House as the 47th president will surely change the calculus. The policy differences between the Republican president-elect and...

The Federal Reserve's November policy meeting is set to be a pivotal moment for markets. While investors are almost certain of a 25bps rate cut, the Fed’s guidance will be closely watched,...

Stocks ended the day higher amid an implied volatility crush, with the VIX index dropping sharply. The VIX closed the gap from its significant rise on Thursday, October 31. More interesting was the...

As I have been writing publicly for over 13 years, and have been running my services for and teaching trading and investing to thousands of retail customers and money manager clients for the same, I...

The US presidential election will be the key focus this week with prediction markets reversing some of the Trump trade, suggesting a very tight race. Meanwhile, both the Federal Reserve and Bank of...

U.S. Treasury yields have become a critical indicator for retail investors as markets navigate shifting monetary policy expectations and economic signals ahead of the hyped presidential election. The...

Trump vs Harris: Who's Better for Gold, Stocks and US Dollar?