On November 14, 2024, Celcuity (NASDAQ:CELC) Inc. (CELX) reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2024, alongside updates on its clinical trials, particularly the development of gedatolisib. The company recorded a net loss of $29.8 million, or $0.70 per share, a larger loss compared to the same quarter last year, but with a lower per-share impact due to an increased share count. Research and development expenses have increased, largely due to the progression of gedatolisib's clinical trials. Celcuity ended the quarter with a strong cash position of $264.1 million, attributing to successful financing activities.
Key Takeaways
- Celcuity's net loss widened to $29.8 million in Q3 2024, but the loss per share decreased compared to Q3 2023.
- R&D expenses rose to $27.6 million, driven by the VIKTORIA-1 and VIKTORIA-2 trials for gedatolisib.
- The company is optimistic about gedatolisib’s market potential, with the possibility of filing a new drug application if the trials yield positive results.
- Gedatolisib has shown a favorable safety profile and administration method, which could enhance market access and patient adherence.
- Upcoming presentations at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium and investor conferences in November were announced.
Company Outlook
- Celcuity plans to present overall survival data from the Phase Ib trial of gedatolisib at the upcoming San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium in December.
- The company is hopeful about gedatolisib becoming a new standard of care for HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.
- With positive trial results, Celcuity aims for a new drug application and projects peak revenue potential exceeding $2 billion.
Bearish Highlights
- The net loss increased from Q3 2023, with R&D expenses contributing significantly to the rise.
- The complexity of interpreting clinical trial results, particularly for post-CDK4/6 treatments, presents challenges.
Bullish Highlights
- Preliminary feedback on gedatolisib's IV administration method is promising for better market access and adherence.
- The VIKTORIA-1 Phase III trial is fully enrolled, and the VIKTORIA-2 trial is set to begin enrolling patients in Q2 2025.
Misses
- General and administrative expenses grew to $2.5 million due to increased employee and consulting costs.
- The net cash used in operating activities rose to $20.6 million, up from $12.7 million in Q3 2023.
Q&A Highlights
- Brian Sullivan addressed the challenges of interpreting mixed patient population results and the potential impact of Roche (LON:0QQ6)'s inavolisib on gedatolisib's patient population.
- Positive enrollment expectations for the VIKTORIA-2 study were highlighted, with the experience from VIKTORIA-1 expected to contribute to successful enrollment rates.
Celcuity remains focused on advancing its clinical programs and is poised to share further data in the upcoming months, which could shape the company's trajectory and the potential impact of gedatolisib on the treatment landscape for advanced breast cancer.
InvestingPro Insights
As Celcuity Inc. (CELX) continues to navigate the challenging landscape of clinical trials and drug development, recent InvestingPro data provides additional context to the company's financial position and market performance.
According to InvestingPro Tips, Celcuity holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which aligns with the company's reported strong cash position of $264.1 million at the end of Q3 2024. This financial cushion is crucial for supporting ongoing clinical trials, particularly the VIKTORIA-1 and VIKTORIA-2 studies for gedatolisib.
However, the InvestingPro data also reveals that Celcuity's stock has taken a significant hit over the last week, with a 1-week price total return of -10.98%. This recent downturn may reflect market reactions to the increased net loss reported in the Q3 results.
The company's market capitalization stands at $522.5 million, which, when considered alongside the potential peak revenue of over $2 billion for gedatolisib mentioned in the company outlook, suggests significant growth potential if clinical trials prove successful.
It's worth noting that InvestingPro Tips indicate Celcuity is not profitable over the last twelve months, which is consistent with the reported net loss and increased R&D expenses. The adjusted operating income for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 was -$85.4 million, underscoring the substantial investments being made in clinical development.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Celcuity, providing a deeper dive into the company's financial health and market position.
Full transcript - Celcuity LLC (CELC) Q3 2024:
Operator: Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Celcuity Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded, November 14, 2024. I would now like to turn the call over to Apoorva Chaloori. Please go ahead.
Apoorva Chaloori: Thank you, operator, and good afternoon to everyone on the call. Thank you for joining us to review Celcuity's third quarter 2024 financial results and business update. Earlier today, Celcuity Inc. released financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. The press release can be found on the Investors section of the website. Joining me on the call today are Brian Sullivan, Celcuity's Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder; Vicky Hahne, Chief Financial Officer; as well as Igor Gorbatchevsky, Chief Medical (TASE:PMCN) Officer, who will be available during Q&A. Before we begin, I would like to remind listeners that our comments today will include some forward-looking statements. These statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in today's press release and in our reports and filings with the SEC. Actual events or results, may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements and their implications involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or performance to differ materially from those projected. On this call, we will also refer to non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures are used by management to make strategic decisions, forecast future results and evaluate the company's current performance. Management believes the presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures is useful for investors' understanding and assessment of the company's ongoing core operations and prospects for the future. You can find the table reconciling the non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures in today's press release. And with that, I would now like to turn the call over to Brian Sullivan, CEO of Celcuity. Please go ahead.
Brian Sullivan: Thank you, Apoorva, and good afternoon, everyone. We continue to make great progress advancing the clinical development of gedatolisib this quarter. Overall enrollment in VIKTORIA-1, our Phase III clinical trial evaluating gedatolisib plus fulvestrant with and without palbociclib in the second-line setting remains robust and on track. We are very excited to announce that the PIK3CA wild-type cohort is 100% enrolled, an important milestone. It reflects the excellent execution by our clinical development and operations teams, and great support from the investigators at our sites. And enrollment in the PIK3CA mutant cohort is on plan. Our VIKTORIA-2 Phase III clinical trial that will be evaluating gedatolisib plus fulvestrant and a CDK4/6 inhibitor in the first-line setting, remains on track to enroll its first patient in the second quarter of 2025. And our Phase Ib/II trial evaluating patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer is ongoing and remains on track to report preliminary data in the second quarter of 2025. The primary endpoints for the VIKTORIA-1 clinical trial are progression-free survival or PFS and per RECIST 1.1 criteria as assessed by Blinded Independent (LON:IOG) Central Review. The study is designed to independently evaluate a PIK3CA wild-type patient cohort and a PIK3CA mutant patient cohort. With the PIK3CA wild-type cohort, there are two primary endpoints that will be tested hierarchically, whereas, the PIK3CA mutant patient cohort has a single primary endpoint. Primary analysis for each patient cohort is triggered upon reaching a predefined number of progression events. With a PIK3CA wild-type patient cohort, the threshold number of events for both primary endpoints must be achieved before the primary analysis is triggered. Based on our current forecast of reaching the event thresholds that will trigger primary analysis, we expect to report top line data for the PIK3CA wild-type cohort sometime in late Q1, 2025 or Q2, 2025. And to report top line data for the PIK3CA mutant cohort in the second half of 2025. If the results from the PIK3CA wild-type patient cohort are positive, we would expect to file a new drug application or NDA with this data and follow-up with a supplemental NDA, or sNDA, if the results from the PIK3CA mutant cohort are also positive. Obviously, the foundation of gedatolisib’s potential future positioning will require the gedatolisib report a clinically meaningful median PFS benefit. Current median PFS benchmarks for patients pretreated with a CDK4/6 inhibitor are modest. Published reports of median progression-free survival for the SERDs range from two to 3.8 months and in patients with PIK3CA mutations ranges between 5.5 and 7.3 months for the AKT and PI3K alpha inhibitor, the two most recently approved therapies for this patient population reported between two and 3.5 months of incremental PFS benefit, the threshold KOLs generally considered to be clinically meaningful. In addition, we've consistently heard from oncologists that they greatly prefer to delay use of chemotherapy or ADCs until the benefit from endocrine backbone regimens is exhausted. We also think to get gedatolisib safety profile may also favor its potential positioning in a future treatment landscape. Gedatolisib treatment-related discontinuation rate was only 4% in the Phase 1b arm with the Phase 3 intermittent dose schedule, which is comparable to the 6% to 8% discontinuation rates for the CDK4/6 plus fulvestrant regimens. These results compare favorably to the treatment-related discontinuation rates reported in the Phase 3 studies for alpelisib plus fulvestrant where 26% of patients discontinued and everolimus plus exemestane, where 24% of patients discontinued. The results we get at ilisibarre [ph], especially encouraging given that patients in the Phase 1b study do not receive prophylactic treatment for stomatitis. Since we are prescribing stomatitis prophylaxis in our Phase III trial, we would expect fewer stomatitis related as worst events, which would further enhance gedatolisib's already promising safety profile. We recognize that the treatment landscape is evolving with new potential therapies under development. Our view is that the underlying biological drivers of HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer will ultimately determine which regimens become standard of care, three interconnected signaling pathways, estrogen, cyclin D1 CDK4/6 and PI3K, AKT mTOR promote this disease, and we believe that simultaneous blockade of all three of these pathways is required to optimize antitumor control. And this suggests that a triplet regimen that addresses these disease drivers, whether in the first or second line setting may have a long-term advantage versus a doublet regimen or regimen or monotherapy that addresses just one or two of these signaling pathways. Additionally, a triplet that could treat all patients regardless of PIK3CA ESR1 status would have an even greater advantage. We believe that a triplet regimen that includes gedatolisib is well positioned to establish this new standard of care, and we're optimistic that the VIKTORIA-1 data from our PIK3CA wild-type and mutant cohorts can live up to this potential. Feedback we're receiving from oncologists and market access stakeholders in conjunction with our preliminary commercial launch-related activities further reinforces our optimism about the potential for gedatolisib. Of particular note is the encouraging feedback received regarding gedatolisib IV route of administration. This preliminary research suggests that IV administration will not be a barrier to utilization of gedatolisib, and in fact, likely offers important advantages, particularly from a market access and adherence to therapy perspective. If gedatolisib ultimately does receive FDA approval for both the PIK3CA wild-type mutant populations -- we estimate peak revenue potential for the second line and delayed indication alone could exceed $2 billion. Turning to our VIKTORIA-2 study. Our site qualification activities to support activation of up to 200 sites across North America, Europe, Latin America and Asia are on track. We're very pleased with the interest we're receiving from our current VIKTORIA-1 sites as well as new sites that have expressed interest in participating in this study. We expect these activities will allow us to enroll our first patient in the second quarter of 2025. The VIKTORIA-2 study is a global Phase III open-label randomized clinical trial, evaluating the efficacy and safety of gedatolisib in combination with fulvestrant plus a CDK4/6 inhibitor. As a first-line treatment for patients with HR-positive HER2-negative advanced breast cancer who are endocrine therapy-resistant. Prior to the initiation of the Phase III portion of the trial, the safety run-in study will be conducted in 12 to 36 participants to assess the safety profile of gedatolisib in combination with rivociclib and fulvestrant. Earlier this year, we dosed our first patient in our Phase Ib/II trial that is evaluating getezelisib in combination with darolutamide in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. This study is ongoing, and we are on track to report preliminary data from this study in the second quarter of 2025. Just recently in October, the Journal Cancers published results of our non-clinical studies in gynecological cancer cell line models, highlighting the differences between single node inhibitors of the PI3K-AKT inventor pathway and gedatolisib. The published manuscript is available online and on public -- on the Publication section of Celcuity's website. Results from these studies are consistent with the non-clinical studies we published earlier this year that evaluated breast and prostate cancer cell line models in all three tumor types gedatolisib demonstrated superior potency in cytotoxicity compared to single node PI3K-AKT-mTOR inhibitors. In this December, we're looking forward to presenting 1 clinical poster and 2 no-nclinical posters at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium. Our clinical poster will present overall survival data from our Phase Ib clinical trial that evaluated gedatolisib in combination with palbociclib and endocrine therapy. The two non-clinical posters will present data to further characterizes the mechanism of action of gedatolisib and its effect on key breast cancer cell metabolic functions. Overall, we're very pleased with the progress we made this quarter advancing the clinical development of gedatolisib. I'd like now to turn the call over to Vicky, who will review our financial results.
Vicky Hahne: Thank you, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll provide a brief overview of our financial results for the third quarter 2024. Our third quarter net loss was $29.8 million or $0.70 per share compared to $18.4 million net loss or $0.83 per share for the third quarter of 2023. Because these quarterly net losses include significant non-cash items, including stock-based compensation and interest, we also included in our press release non-GAAP adjusted net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. Our non-GAAP adjusted net loss was $27.6 million or $0.65 per share for the third quarter of 2024 compared to non-GAAP adjusted net loss of $17.3 million or $0.78 per share for the third quarter of 2023. Research and development expenses were $27.6 million for the third quarter of 2024 compared to $17.5 million for the third quarter of 2023. Of the approximately $10.1 million increase in R&D expenses, $6.3 million primarily related to activities supporting the VIKTORIA-1, Phase 3 trial the Phase 1b/2 prostate trial and the initiation of the VIKTORIA-2 Phase 3 trial. The remaining $3.8 million was related to increased employee and consulting expenses. General and administrative expenses were $2.5 million for the third quarter of 2024, and compared to $1.4 million for the third quarter of 2023. Employee and consulting-related expenses accounted for $0.9 million of the increase. Professional fees and other administrative expenses accounted for the remaining increase of approximately $0.2 million. Net cash used in operating activities for the third quarter of 2024 was $20.6 million compared to $12.7 million for the third quarter of 2023. We ended the quarter with approximately $264.1 million of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments compared to cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $180.6 million at December 31, 2023. The increase of $83.5 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments was a result of several financing activities that occurred year-to-date through September 2024 and yielded net proceeds of approximately $138.3 million. The $138.3 million was partially offset by year-to-date operating cash used of approximately $55.8 million. I will now hand the call back to Brian.
Brian Sullivan: Thank you, Vicki. Operator, could you please open the call for questions.
Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] One moment please, for your first question. Your first question is from Maury Raycroft from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Q – Maury Raycroft: Hi. Congrats on the progress. And thanks for taking my question. For the time line updates and clarifications around time lines, it sounds like it's primarily driven by event rate an you talk more about whether you have any additional insights into the event rate and whether there could be a relationship with patient baseline characteristics and just want to clarify if any of the shift was related to enrollment going slower than expected?
Brian Sullivan: Hi, Maury, thanks for your question. We think that as we updated last quarter, last -- our last update, we -- that the higher proportion of mutated patients relative to our initial projection, 40% versus 35% had a corresponding decrease in the rate of enrollment for the wild-type population. We factored that into the event projection or the time line we provided in August. And so the recent update relates to -- and it would only be a result of the rate of events occurring and so not related to change in enrollment. We're actually a little ahead of where we thought we'd be when we reported in August. And so as far as factors that could drive that is really not appropriate for me to comment. I think the event rate is out of our control, and it's certainly a function of how the patients are responding to therapies. The events that we can track are only in aggregate for all three arms, we can't track them by endpoint. So, we really have limited ability to do anything other than track them and try to forecast when we think we'll cross over the line for those two primary endpoints.
Maury Raycroft: Okay. Yes, that makes sense, and that's helpful. And also, I just wanted to ask you a question just based on the treatment landscape evolving with Roche's approval of inavolisib in combo with palbociclib and fulvestrant. Just your thoughts on that for the front-line setting and how that approval could impact or effect use of gedatolisib in the second-line, if approved for the mutation population?
Brian Sullivan: Sure. Well, we think the study and the results were supportive of our hypothesis, which is that inhibition of all three of these pathways is beneficial and can significantly improve outcomes for patients. As far as the impact on geda, our current indication or the indication we'd be seeking is for patients who are endocrine treatment sensitive. And these are patients who will have received a CDK4/6 inhibitor plus letrozole. And so our forecast of the opportunity have been focused on -- or have been related to that population. And so we don't expect that approval for inavolisib to essentially compromise or reduce the population that we're treating in the second line. Our VIKTORIA-2 study though, will directly address the population that the Roche study was focused on the inavolisib study, except that our study will capture will enroll and 100% of the eligible patients were endocrine treatment-resistant, whereas the Roche study essentially only enrolled or treated what we estimate to be roughly 20% of eligible -- of the patients who would be considered to be endocrine treatment resistant.
Maury Raycroft: Got it. Okay, that’s helpful. Thanks for taking my questions. I'll hop back in the queue.
Brian Sullivan: You're welcome.
Operator: Your next question is from Brad Canino from Stifel. Please go ahead.
Brad Canino: Hi, thanks for the update. Maybe one heading into San Antonio. I noted in the press release, you've got an updated analysis. I want great to hear from you what the focus will be there? And then also at the conference, there's going to be a lot of data from oral SERD and CDK doublets, including a Phase III, I'd just like to ask if you consider these to be potential new combination therapies that could compete with gedatolisib. And what are you keeping in mind as you plan to analyze the data from those at the meeting? Thank you.
Brian Sullivan: Sure. Well, at the San Antonio Conference, we'll have a number of objectives. I mean one of them will be to present three posters and update folks on the extended follow-up we performed on the patients who were enrolled in the Phase Ib study and then continue to provide information that helps people understand the mechanism of geda and its impact on key metabolic functions. We'll also have objectives just related to general activities to support our two ongoing studies in breast cancer. But of course, we'll be tracking the data that comes out, the Phase III data for the oral SERD and then the other data. Most of these studies are going -- seeking to treat a population similar to ours, so certainly very relevant to us. And we'll review the data accordingly. I think depending on which patient populations get enrolled, you have to peel apart the baseline characteristics and depending on how they present the data, you'll need to do an assessment of the sub-groups that maybe correspond to a second-line population that we're addressing, which is patients who receive the CDK4/6 or an aromatase inhibitor who have received prior CDK4/6. And so that patient population is distinct. Some of these trials will be enrolling patients who not have -- not had a CDK4/6 inhibitor that will tend to make, a difficult to interpret without assessing the sub-groups, those who've received versus those who haven't CDK4/6 inhibitors. And then, there are certain characteristics that aren't necessarily representative of the type of population you might enroll in a Phase 3 study, for instance, patients with measurable disease versus non-measurable disease or viable versus non-viable tumors. Those factors can create -- have an impact on the response of patients to therapy. So it's always important when you look at these studies and you try to do a cross-trial comparison to try to normalize the data as much as is possible to ensure that you're comparing like-to-like to the extent that the data is available to do that.
Brad Canino: Great. Thanks Brian.
Operator: Next (LON:NXT) question is from Tara Bancroft from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.
Tara Bancroft: Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. So I was hoping to get a better idea of expectations. So first, I was hoping you could tell us what absolute mPFS number that you would like to see in the wild-type triplet and doublet have the highest level of confidence in success in mutant population as well. And then, I guess, also related to what Brian. My question for the control arm expectations, given that we have the EMBER-3 data coming up at San Antonio, it would be great to get your view on read through from that, in particular, the control arm, even though it's investigator choice, but it does include fulvestrant. So we've talked about this before with the postMONARCH study, but how should we look at, how the control arm performs and make any read there here.
Brian Sullivan: Well, as far as what we'd like to see. I mean, we'd love to see two years of meetings.
Vicky Hahne: Yes.
Brian Sullivan: So I think what we think -- and really, it's not appropriate for us to provide a forecast. What can do is just point people to the results we had in our Phase 1b study. And point two, the fact that in our Phase 3 study, we're enrolling a patient population that could be considered to have a more favorable prognosis in the patient population that was evaluated in the Phase 1b study. The patients in the Phase 1b study all had Visceral Disease, no bone only patients, 20% of the patients had prior chemo. And median duration of treatment of their prior treatment was around 13 months, whereas in the Phase 2 study we're not enrolling patients who've had prior chemo in the advanced setting, where we are enrolling patients who have bone-only disease as long as they have a measurable lytic, or lytic blastic lesion. And those two factors, again, tend to correlate to improved response to targeted therapies. So net-net, we think we have a population that may certainly improve the odds of being able to replicate the data in the Phase 1b. And the Phase 1b data, we reported 12.9 months median PFS overall roughly 50% of patients were progression free who were wild type at 12 months, whereas 60% on the mutant setting were progression-free at 12 months. And so we would hope to report results that were consistent with that. As far as the expectations or what's needed to have a clinical impact, we've spoken to as well as the community physicians, very kind of uniformly indicated that the three-month median PFS delta relative to control would be meaningful. Certainly, more is better than that, if that's possible. And so the data will come out, and we'll see. Now as far as what the thing about the control. In the past couple of years have been or three years, there have been four studies, one Phase 3, two Phase 3, two Phase 2 randomized that have evaluated fulvestrant in patients who've had prior CDK Three of the studies -- two of the studies reported 1.9 months meeting PFS for fulvestrant, on reported 2.1 months for fulvestrant and the other reported $3.5 billion. If you do a straight average or even a weighted average, taking into account the different population sample sizes, you find that the average results for fulvestrant in this population is about three months where it ranges from 2% to 3.5%. We think it would be very unlikely to see a result that was outside those boundaries going forward. As far as number three, I think from what I know about the eligibility criteria, they've included patients who have -- who are CDK4/6 treatment naive as well those who are CDK4/6 naive. And so it will make the intent to treat MPFS reported difficult to interpret because for the most part, certainly in the U.S. and really in most of the developed countries, CDK4/6 treatment is standard in the front line. So the results for a mixed population won't necessarily be useful for investigators that want to dig into the post-CDK patient results. And we'll see. I think it would be unlikely given the other results that that have been reported we'd see results outside that 2 to 3.5 month range, but we'll know in a couple of weeks.
Tara Bancroft,: Okay. Great. Thank you.
Brian Sullivan: You’re welcome.
Operator: Your next question is from Chase Knickerbocker from Craig Hallum. Please go ahead.
Chase Knickerbocker: Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for the questions. So Brian, just maybe as we're kind of obviously, fully enrolled now in the first cohort in VIKTORIA-1, maybe talk me through, obviously, you're going to have a lot of similar trial sites in VIKTORIA-2. Talk me through kind of your enrollment expectations for that study. now that you have quite a bit of experience with what to expect from a lot of these sites from VIKTORIA-1? And again, kind of what you hear from investigators as far as kind of their excitement around VIKTORIA-2 and to give more patients got.
Brian Sullivan: Sure. I think, a, very excited that the sites in VIKTORIA-1 that we wanted to partner with in this study of the VIKTORIA-2 study wanted to. So we're essentially betting, I think, about 1,000 on that front. And we think that reflects their experience with geda. And so that's encouraging to us. And then the new sites that will be participating are familiar with the data that we've presented for the Phase Ib. They also are very familiar with the unmet need and the importance of coming up with options for these patients. I think generally, first-line patient studies are considered to be easier to enroll. There are more patients. They tend to have fewer comorbidities that could make them ineligible. And so we think our enrollment rate for VIKTORIA-1 was very, very good relative to what has been reported for other studies. So we're very encouraged by that. And so we think it would be more likely than not that the enrollment rate for Victoria 2 would be at least as good or likely a little better than VIKTORIA-1. So we'll see as we go. But we're on track to selecting the sites. We're on track to conducting the regulatory work that's required outside the US so that we can get those sites activated and begin screening patients and on track to being able to get our first patient by the second quarter. So far so good.
Chase Knickerbocker: Thanks for the question, Brian.
Brian Sullivan: You’re welcome.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed with closing remarks. Thank you.
Brian Sullivan: Well, thank you very much for participating in our call today for your ongoing support. We'll be participating in multiple upcoming investor conferences in November, and I look forward to interacting with many of you soon. I hope you have a great evening. Goodbye.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.
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