NVDA gained a massive 197% since our AI first added it in November - is it time to sell? 🤔Read more

Sterling surges on better-than-expected PMI, consumer credit

Published 04/01/2024, 12:39
Updated 04/01/2024, 12:42
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: UK pound coins plunge into water coloured with the European Union flag colours in this illustration picture, October 26, 2017. Picture taken October 26, 2017. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo
GBP/USD
-

By Joice Alves

LONDON (Reuters) - Sterling surged on Thursday after data showed British borrowers increased demand for loans, while a separate business survey showed a more resilient than feared economic picture.

Bank of England (BoE) data showed on Thursday net borrowing by British consumers was the highest in nearly seven years in November and lenders approved the most mortgages since June, in a sign households were mostly coping with high interest rates.

A separate survey, the final S&P Global/CIPS UK Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), showed Britain's services firms grew more strongly in December than initially thought and optimism hit a seven-month high.

The composite PMI, which combines the services survey with a weak reading of the manufacturing sector published on Tuesday, reached its highest since May in December, rising to 52.1 from 50.7 in November.

Jeremy Stretch, head of G10 FX Strategy at CIBC Capital Markets, said sterling found some comfort as "early BoE rate cut expectations (are) continuing to be pared."

The large increase in monthly consumer credit, combined with an upgrade to final services PMI "provides a more constructive UK macro backdrop," he said.

Sterling was last up 0.23% against the dollar at $1.2690

It rose as much as 0.5% to $1.2728 after the data release, having fallen 0.87% on Tuesday to a three-week low, in its biggest one-day drop since mid-October.

Traders expect around 140 basis points of rate cuts in 2024, according to money market pricing, not far off the roughly 150 expected from the Fed and the European Central Bank, but they are split on the timing of the first BoE cut.

British business leaders have called on the BoE to start cutting interest rates in early 2024.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who is expected to call an election later this year, promised to get the economy growing more strongly but official data published last month suggested it could already be in a mild recession. The opposition Labour Party, which is far ahead of Sunak's Conservatives in opinion polls, has accused him of overseeing a slump in the country's growth.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: UK pound coins plunge into water coloured with the European Union flag colours in this illustration picture, October 26, 2017. Picture taken October 26, 2017. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo

The central bank raised interest rates to a 15-year high of 5.25% in August and has said it expects to keep them elevated for "an extended period of time" to ensure that the risks posed by the surge in inflation in 2022 are snuffed out.

Inflation in the UK fell more than expected in November to 3.9%, from 4.6% in October.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.