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European shares at 22-month high as dovish Fed overshadows ECB rate cut snub

Published 14/12/2023, 08:35
© Reuters. The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 12, 2023.    REUTERS/Staff/file photo
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By Ankika Biswas and Bansari Mayur Kamdar

(Reuters) -European shares slipped from Thursday's highs but still ended the session higher as investors cheered the U.S. Federal Reserve's dovish shift a day earlier and shrugged off the European Central Bank pushing back against market bets of interest rate cuts.

The pan-European index closed 0.9% higher to an over 22-month high, after rising as much as 1.7% earlier in the day, and the euro zone's top blue-chip index was up 0.3% by close after briefly touching an over 22-year high.

Both the indexes pared some gains after the ECB pushed back against bets on imminent cuts to interest rates by reaffirming borrowing costs would remain at record highs despite lower inflation expectations.

The central bank, however, kept rates steady as widely expected.

"Market's still reacting to a surprising dovish shift from the Fed, while the ECB was relatively hawkish due to lack of indication of even considering cuts," said Patrick Armstrong, chief investment officer at Plurimi Wealth.

"But I do think it'll be a cut in March from the ECB."

The Fed, meanwhile, left rates unchanged on Wednesday, with Chair Jerome Powell suggesting that rate hikes were likely done with due to easing inflation and that discussion of rate cuts was "coming into view."

"The Fed has overtaken the ECB to be the markets' favourite for which major central bank will cut first," said Stuart Cole, chief macro economist at Equiti Capital.

The STOXX 600 has gained 12.3% year-to-date versus the U.S. benchmark S&P 500's 23% during the same period.

The euro zone's equity volatility index slid to its lowest level since 2020, reflecting market optimism.

Rate-sensitive real estate stocks soared 5.7%, leading sectoral gains, while miners also jumped 3.3% tracking higher metal prices.

Separately, the Bank of England stuck to its guns and said interest rates needed to stay high for "an extended period". UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was up 1.3%, slipping from the day's high.

Elsewhere, the Swiss National Bank held its rates and lowered inflation forecasts, while Norway's central bank delivered a surprise rate hike.

Vivendi (EPA:VIV) advanced 10% as the French media company plans to examine splitting up some of its activities.

AMS Osram jumped 13.5% after Jefferies upgraded the Swiss sensor maker to "buy" from "hold".

© Reuters. The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, November 12, 2023.    REUTERS/Staff/file photo

Italian luxury group Brunello Cucinelli gained 6.9% after raising its 2023 revenue growth forecast again.

MorphoSys shed 4.0% after the German biotech firm launched a 10% cash capital increase.

(Kamdar in Bengaluru; Editing by Janane Venkatraman, Sriraj Kalluvila and David Evans)

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