NVDA gained a massive 197% since our AI first added it in November - is it time to sell? 🤔Read more

Spooked global funds drive up cash and bond holdings

Published 20/12/2018, 14:03
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor of the NYSE
MIWD00000PUS
-

By Marc Jones

LONDON (Reuters) - Spooked by another worldwide stocks selloff, global investors have piled up cash to a more than two-year high this month, hoovered up bonds and cut back property holdings.

Brexit worries have also made the UK stocks more unpopular than a long-running Reuters poll has ever seen, though there has been a tentative move back into U.S. and Asian equities despite the two region's rumbling trade tensions.

The moves show how much confidence in the world economy has soured since the start of the year.

The combination of the U.S.-China trade tensions, central banks turning off the money taps and cooling growth will see world stocks (MIWD00000PUS) suffer their first double-digit loss in any year since the 2008 global financial crisis.

Fund managers around the globe reduced their exposure to equities to 47.2 percent from 47.7 percent in November and 50.1 in January, which makes its the biggest shift out of stocks in a calendar year since Reuters started its survey in 2013.

"Investors are doubting global growth and fearing a recession with uncertainty over the direction of trade wars at a time when most global central banks have entered or (are) about to enter the tightening cycle," head of multi asset at Liontrust Asset Management John Husselbee said.

A total of 45 funds took part in the poll conducted from Dec. 7 to Dec. 19. Fixed income holdings rose to 39.3 percent, a touch higher than October, while cash levels - a key gauge of investor caution - rose to their highest since November 2016 at 6.1 percent.

It means that cash holdings have risen more than 2 percentage points since the start of this year and it will be the first year since 2013 that there has been any kind of rise in cash levels at all.

Across equity portfolios, fund managers have cut back hardest over the last month on UK stocks as the Brexit process has been thrown into fresh chaos.

UK holdings have fallen below 8 percent for the first time in the poll's lifetime and slipped by more than 2 percentage points over the year. A separate question in the poll also shows that most investors still expect Brexit to happen.

There are warning lights for the global property market too. Real-estate allocations are also now at their lowest level in the poll's history at 1.2 percent.

On the flip side holdings in U.S. stocks have crept back up to a record high of 43.4 percent this month and investors have also nudged up their Asian levels for a second month running as the U.S.-China trade war salvos have eased a little.

"We have been buying stocks on weakness over the last few weeks and now have a moderate overweight position in the multi asset funds we manage," Trevor Greetham of Royal London said.

"We are very much aware of the short term risks but with sentiment so depressed and stock market seasonality turning positive it's time to say the glass is half full, not half empty."

© Reuters. Traders work on the floor of the NYSE

(Graphic) Global markets in 2018 - https://tmsnrt.rs/2R8CUd7

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.