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Supernus stock holds Buy rating on MDD trial data

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 18/10/2024, 14:16
SUPN
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On Friday, Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:SUPN) shares maintained Buy rating and a $43.00 price target from TD Cowen, following the release of positive topline data from a Phase IIa trial in Major Depressive Disorder (MDD).

The trial results showed patients experiencing a significant improvement in depression symptoms, with a decrease of 9.6 points on the HAM-D6 scale and a 22.9-point reduction on the MADRS scale from baseline.

The company's recent disclosure of the trial data has reinforced the analyst's confidence in the drug's potential. The results from the open-label, single-arm study indicate a promising early safety profile for the treatment. The analyst from TD Cowen highlighted the importance of these findings and expressed anticipation for the upcoming Phase IIb treatment-resistant depression (TRD) study results, which are expected in the first half of 2025.

Apart from the MDD trial, Supernus Pharmaceuticals is also focusing on Qelbree, its treatment for Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD). The analyst expects Qelbree to continue gaining traction as its market launch expands. The steady adoption of Qelbree in treating ADHD is seen as a key driver for the company's growth.

The positive outlook for Supernus is based on the current progress in its product pipeline, which is advancing through various stages of clinical trials. The analyst's reiterated rating and price target reflect the potential for Supernus's stock performance as the company continues to report developments in its clinical programs.

Investors and market watchers are likely to keep a close eye on Supernus Pharmaceuticals as it progresses towards the next major milestone with the Phase IIb TRD study, which could further solidify the company's position in the pharmaceutical industry for treating depressive disorders.

In other recent news, Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported promising interim results from its Phase IIa study of SPN-820, a potential treatment for major depressive disorder. Piper Sandler maintained a neutral stance on Supernus shares, citing the intriguing but inconclusive open-label trial data. Investors are looking forward to the upcoming results from a randomized, placebo-controlled Phase IIb trial for SPN-820, expected in the first half of 2025.

Supernus also reported a robust growth of 24% in total revenue for Q2 2024, reaching $168.3 million, primarily driven by increases in prescriptions and net sales of key products Qelbree and GOCOVRI. The company raised its full-year 2024 financial guidance to a range of $600 million to $625 million.

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has accepted Supernus's resubmitted new drug application for SPN-830, a device designed for continuous treatment of Parkinson's disease motor fluctuations, with a review date set for February 1, 2025.

Piper Sandler downgraded Supernus Pharmaceuticals' stock from Overweight to Neutral and cut its price target to $36, influenced by the company's recent performance, particularly concerning its product Qelbree. Despite this, Supernus maintains a strong balance sheet with no debt and $347.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities.

InvestingPro Insights

Supernus Pharmaceuticals' recent positive trial results align with several promising financial indicators. According to InvestingPro data, the company boasts impressive gross profit margins of 88.34% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reflecting strong operational efficiency. This is particularly relevant given the company's focus on developing innovative treatments for disorders like MDD and ADHD.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Supernus holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing financial flexibility to fund ongoing clinical trials and potential commercialization efforts. Additionally, net income is expected to grow this year, which could be driven by the anticipated success of products like Qelbree and the promising pipeline developments mentioned in the article.

The company's stock has shown strong performance, with a 34.13% price total return over the past year. This aligns with the positive outlook presented in the article and the reiterated Buy rating from TD Cowen.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Supernus Pharmaceuticals' potential, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips that could provide valuable insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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