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Steel Dynamics forecasts dip in Q3 earnings

Published 16/09/2024, 21:46
STLD
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FORT WAYNE, Ind. - Steel Dynamics , Inc. (NASDAQ/GS: NASDAQ:STLD) announced its third-quarter 2024 earnings guidance, projecting earnings to be in the range of $1.94 to $1.98 per diluted share. This forecast marks a decrease from the second quarter's earnings of $2.72 per diluted share and a more significant drop from the third quarter of the previous year's earnings of $3.47 per diluted share.


The company attributes the expected decline in profitability primarily to lower average realized pricing in its flat rolled operations, which are influenced by contractually based lagging pricing indices. Despite the dip in pricing, flat rolled steel prices have shown signs of stabilization and improvement during the third quarter. Steel Dynamics also notes that underlying steel demand has remained steady.


In contrast, the company predicts that earnings from its metals recycling operations will be consistent with the second quarter, as steady volumes are anticipated to balance out marginally lower realized pricing. However, earnings from the steel fabrication operations are expected to be moderately lower due to a slight decrease in average realized pricing, although the order backlog remains stable, extending into the first quarter of 2025 with attractive pricing levels.


Steel Dynamics' confidence in its earnings outlook and cash flow generation is reflected in its recent repurchase of $307 million, or two percent, of its common stock during the third quarter, ending September 11, 2024.


The company plans to release detailed third-quarter earnings after market close on Wednesday, October 16, 2024, followed by a conference call on Thursday at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time to discuss the results.


As one of North America's largest steel producers and metals recyclers, Steel Dynamics operates facilities across the United States and in Mexico, producing a wide range of steel products and processing and selling ferrous and nonferrous scrap.


This financial guidance is based on a press release statement and includes forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties, including market conditions and economic factors that could cause actual results to differ from predictions.


In other recent news, Steel Dynamics reported robust financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, with revenues of $4.6 billion and an adjusted EBITDA of $686 million. The company also declared a third-quarter dividend of $0.46 per share, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder value. JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) revised its stance on Steel Dynamics, upgrading the stock rating from Underweight to Neutral and increasing the price target to $131.00. This adjustment reflects a more favorable view of the company's diversified operations. The firm's analysts project an 8.7% free cash flow yield for Steel Dynamics in fiscal year 2026, an improvement from the expected 5.3% yield in fiscal year 2025. As part of its growth strategy, Steel Dynamics commissioned four new value-added flat rolled steel coating lines and reported shipments of 3.2 million tons for the quarter. Despite a decline in steel pricing, Steel Dynamics remains optimistic about steel demand and sees strong market potential in Mexico for high-value products. These recent developments indicate the company's strategic advancements and robust financial foundation.


InvestingPro Insights


Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has been navigating the challenges of the steel industry with a strategic approach that has caught the attention of investors. The company's management has demonstrated confidence in its future by aggressively buying back shares, signaling a commitment to delivering value to shareholders. This is reflected in their repurchase of $307 million worth of common stock as mentioned in the article.


An important aspect to consider is the company's track record of consistent dividend payments, which has been maintained for 21 consecutive years, and an impressive history of raising its dividend for the last 11 years. This commitment to returning value to shareholders is further underscored by a high shareholder yield, a metric that combines dividend payments and share repurchases.


In terms of financial stability, Steel Dynamics boasts liquid assets that exceed its short-term obligations, providing the company with a cushion to navigate market uncertainties. Moreover, the company's cash flows are robust enough to sufficiently cover interest payments, which is a reassuring sign for investors concerned about debt levels.


InvestingPro Data also reveals that Steel Dynamics has a market capitalization of $17.16 billion and trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.85, adjusted to 8.51 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This suggests that the stock may be reasonably valued compared to earnings. Additionally, the company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.88 as of the same period, providing a snapshot of its valuation in relation to its net asset value.


For those interested in delving deeper into the financial metrics and strategic insights about Steel Dynamics, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive set of additional tips. In total, there are 11 InvestingPro Tips available for STLD, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/STLD, offering a more detailed analysis for informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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