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Incred expresses 'slower EV adoption' concerns for Tata Elxsi, rates stock Reduce

Published 28/06/2024, 13:04
TTEX
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On Friday, Incred Research initiated coverage on Tata Elxsi Ltd (TELX:IN), a company specializing in design and technology services, with a Reduce rating and a price target of INR 6,064.00. The firm's analysis suggests a cautious stance on the stock due to several factors that may impact the company's growth and profitability.

The analyst from Incred Research pointed out that while Tata Elxsi is anticipating related party transactions to increase to Rs 10 billion in the fiscal year 2025 from Rs 6.25 billion in 2024, which could support the company's growth, there are overarching concerns that may not be fully accounted for in growth projections.

One of the key issues highlighted is the potential slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) adoption, influenced by the withdrawal of subsidies, tariffs on Chinese EVs, increased competition, and a shift in focus toward profitability by automakers.

Furthermore, the analysis indicates that automakers are reassessing the viability of hybrid and internal combustion engine vehicles, which could lead to moderated capital expenditure, research and development, and technology intensity among both traditional and EV manufacturers. These factors combined could exert pressure on gross margins, thereby potentially restricting the spending capacity of these companies.

Incred Research projects that the transportation revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for Tata Elxsi will moderate to 13.6% from fiscal years 2024 to 2027, compared to the 20.4% constant currency growth seen in 2024 and a 15.1% CAGR from 2019 to 2024. This moderation in growth is attributed to the aforementioned challenges in the automotive sector, which is a significant area of operation for Tata Elxsi.

The Reduce rating indicates that the firm advises caution to investors considering this stock, based on the potential headwinds and market dynamics that could affect Tata Elxsi's financial performance in the coming years. The price target of INR 6,064.00 reflects the firm's valuation of the stock given these factors.

InvestingPro Insights

As Tata Elxsi Ltd (TELX:IN) navigates through a period of uncertainty in the automotive sector, insights from InvestingPro suggest additional factors that investors may consider. According to InvestingPro, two analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, signaling caution about the company's near-term financial outlook. This aligns with the concerns raised by Incred Research regarding potential challenges in the EV market and moderated growth projections for Tata Elxsi.

Moreover, Tata Elxsi is currently trading at a high P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which might be a point of consideration for investors looking at the value aspect of the stock. Despite this, the company is recognized as a prominent player in the Software industry, which could offer some resilience amidst market fluctuations. Additionally, Tata Elxsi's ability to maintain dividend payments for 24 consecutive years reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, which may appeal to income-focused investors.

For investors seeking a more in-depth analysis, there are over 13 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can provide further guidance on Tata Elxsi's financial health and market position. To access these tips and gain comprehensive insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at https://www.investing.com/pro/TTEX.

InvestingPro Data metrics also highlight that Tata Elxsi's stock generally trades with low price volatility, suggesting that it might offer a more stable investment option in the current market environment. This could be particularly relevant for investors who are cautious about entering more turbulent sectors.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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