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Citi stays neutral on Spotify stock on Q2 mixed results

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 23/07/2024, 17:02
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On Tuesday, Citi reaffirmed its Neutral stance on Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), maintaining a price target of $310.00 for the company's shares. The decision follows Spotify's second-quarter earnings, which revealed mixed results.

The firm reported revenues slightly below market expectations, while gross margins and operating income surpassed the anticipated figures. Additionally, the number of premium subscribers increased modestly above consensus, but monthly active users (MAUs) ended the quarter lower than what analysts had predicted.

Looking ahead to the third quarter of 2024, Spotify has provided guidance that suggests gross margins and operating income will surpass consensus estimates.

The forecast for premium subscribers and revenue for the upcoming quarter aligns with market expectations. However, the outlook for MAUs in the third quarter is not as optimistic, falling below what analysts had anticipated.

The analysts at Citi highlighted the positive aspects of Spotify's report, particularly the higher-than-expected gross margins and the encouraging projections for operating income and gross margins for the third quarter. These elements are seen as potential drivers for the stock to perform well in today's trading session.

Spotify's latest financial results and future outlook reflect the company's current performance and market position. With the guidance provided for the next quarter, investors and market watchers will be keeping a close eye on the company's ability to meet or exceed these expectations.

The Neutral rating by Citi indicates a stance of watchfulness, suggesting that while there are positive indicators, there are also factors that warrant caution. The price target of $310.00 remains unchanged, as analysts await further evidence of Spotify's growth trajectory and market performance.

In other recent news, Spotify Technology SA reported a slight miss in its second-quarter revenue and user growth targets. The company's revenue increased to $4.14 billion, falling marginally short of analysts' projections. Despite efforts to expand its user base, Spotify reported 626 million monthly active users, missing its goal of 631 million.

In the analysis sphere, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) expressed optimism about Spotify's market trends, particularly in light of robust listenership figures. Similarly, Piper Sandler maintained a neutral stance on Spotify, emphasizing the importance of profitability and user trends.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) raised its Spotify price target based on anticipated improvements in gross and operating margins.

UBS also maintained a Buy rating on Spotify, raising the price target due to expected efficiency gains. The firm anticipates these improvements will significantly enhance Spotify's free cash flow.

InvestingPro Insights

As investors digest Citi's neutral stance on Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), examining key financial metrics and analyst insights can provide a deeper understanding of the company's valuation and potential. According to recent data from InvestingPro, Spotify holds a market capitalization of $58.81 billion, and despite a negative P/E ratio reflecting past challenges, analysts anticipate net income growth this year. This expected turnaround is underscored by a remarkable 72.06% return on the stock over the past year, signaling strong investor confidence.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Spotify's strong liquidity position, with cash reserves exceeding debt and liquid assets covering short-term obligations, could offer the company flexibility to navigate market uncertainties. Additionally, while some analysts have revised earnings expectations downward, the overall sentiment is buoyed by predictions of profitability in the current year. For those interested in further analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers more tips on Spotify, available at https://www.investing.com/pro/SPOT. To gain access to these valuable resources, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

With Spotify trading at a high Price/Book multiple of 16.33 as of the last twelve months ending Q1 2024, and a significant price uptick over the last six months, the market is pricing in the company's growth prospects. As the next earnings date approaches on July 23, 2024, investors will be keen to see if Spotify's strategic initiatives align with the optimistic revenue growth of 19.53% reported in Q1 2024 and whether these efforts can sustain the company's upward trajectory in a competitive streaming landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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