Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Wall Street and oil take the 2016 spoils

Published 22/12/2016, 14:51
Updated 22/12/2016, 15:00
© Reuters.  Wall Street and oil take the 2016 spoils

By Marc Jones

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil is set to be 2016's top market performer, with its near 50 percent gain an outcome few would have predicted when it plunged to a 12-year low in January.

In a year of shocks, including Britain's vote to leave the European Union and Donald Trump's election as U.S. president, several major assets have been on a rollercoaster.

"(Given) the fragility that markets started the year with and the events that then happened ... it is pretty remarkable how resilient things have been," State Street Global Markets head of macro strategy Michael Metcalfe said.

Crude surged from as low as $27 a barrel to just shy of $58 following two of its worst performing years on record. It dovetailed with large gains from copper zinc and tin , and in currencies like Russia's rouble

As this graphic - http://reut.rs/1WAiOSC - shows many stocks have not done badly either for investors.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 (SPX) and Dow Jones (DJI) are up 12 and 14 percent, respectively, with gains accelerating after Trump's victory.

Tokyo's Nikkei (N225) is 5 percent higher in dollar terms while a 7 percent gain for emerging market stocks (MSCIEF) will end a poor three-year run.

The dollar has risen for a third straight year, with all its 4.5 percent gains against a basket of major currencies (DXY) coming since the U.S. election. http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh .

The yen

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Brexit-battered sterling had the worst year of the FX majors. It has lost 16 percent on the dollar

That's less than the Mexican peso's

London's FTSE (FTSE) has boomed since Brexit, up 18 percent since the June vote, although almost flat on the year.

"Sterling's weakness has been very good for large-cap UK equities and we expect that relationship to hold," said JP Morgan Asset Management global market strategist Mike Bell.

"So we could have that slightly bizarre environment whereby bad news for the UK economy is good news for UK equity market."

METALS SHINE

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries (US10YT=RR) are level for the year but have lost 5 percent since Donald Trump's election and last week's quarter-point rise in U.S. interest rates.

Other fixed income markets have followed. German Bunds

But for the year overall the story looks different. Emerging market dollar and local debt have both earned investors around 9 percent and high-yield bonds have returned over 14 percent.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) say it is the best year since 2009 and has only been bettered 5 times in the past 30 years.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The clear winners though have been commodities and most things linked to them.

Thanks to the stellar gains for metals, Europe's mining firms (SXPP) have soared 60 percent with big names like Anglo American (L:AAL) and Glencore (L:GLEN) up 280 and 200 percent respectively.

Gold

At the other end of the table has been one of last year's star performers, Chinese A shares <.SSEC>. Tighter regulations and jitters about the China economy and the yuan (CNYUSD=R) have driven an 18 percent slump in the stocks in dollar terms.

And if you thought it has been a bad year for Britain's pound, it's been small change compared to Egypt's pound

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.