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BMO upgrades TD Bank stock, sees 25% upside with strong dividend yield

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 19/12/2024, 08:18
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On Wednesday, Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD:CN) (NYSE: TD), a $90.7 billion financial institution currently trading near its 52-week low, received an upgrade in its stock rating by BMO Capital from Market Perform to Outperform.

The firm also set a new price target of Cdn$90.00 for the bank's shares. This change in rating and price target indicates a positive outlook on the bank's performance potential. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued at current levels.

The upgrade by BMO Capital comes with an anticipation of a significant return for investors. The analyst from BMO Capital sees a total return potential of 25% over the next year for Toronto-Dominion Bank. This optimistic view is based on the target price of Cdn$90.00 and contrasts with a downside risk of only 7%. The bank's current P/E ratio of 14.8x and its impressive track record of maintaining dividend payments for 52 consecutive years support this positive outlook.

The analyst provided further details on the rationale behind the upgrade, citing a downside protection at $70 per share. This level of protection corresponds to approximately a 6% dividend yield and is equivalent to roughly 1.0x the estimated 2026 book value per share for Toronto-Dominion Bank. The bank's current financial indicators seem to offer a safety net for investors, according to the analyst's perspective.

BMO Capital's analysis suggests that while the timing of the upgrade might be somewhat early, the potential upside outweighs the downside risks. The 3-to-1 upside to downside skew was highlighted as a compelling reason for the upgrade. Investors are also expected to benefit from an attractive dividend yield during the period of holding the stock.

In summary, BMO Capital's upgrade of Toronto-Dominion Bank to Outperform with a price target of Cdn$90.00 reflects a strong confidence in the bank's future performance. The analyst's comments underscore the attractive return potential and the current dividend yield of 5.58% as key factors for investors considering Toronto-Dominion Bank shares. For a deeper analysis of TD Bank's financial health and growth prospects, including 8 additional ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) has seen several changes to its stock rating and price targets from various financial firms. Jefferies upgraded TD Bank's stock rating from Hold to Buy and named it a top pick for 2025, citing the bank's potential for further earnings growth. Contrarily, RBC Capital, Scotiabank (TSX:BNS), and Desjardins all revised their outlooks on TD Bank's shares, reducing their price targets and maintaining or downgrading their ratings.

TD Bank's recent earnings results have been a significant factor in these adjustments. The bank reported a decrease in its Q4 earnings with adjusted earnings per share of C$1.72, missing the consensus estimate of C$1.83. However, it surpassed revenue expectations, reporting C$15.51 billion, a 33% rise year-over-year, exceeding the projected C$12.71 billion.

Despite a decline in the overall adjusted net income, the Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking segment reported a 9% increase in net income to C$1.82 billion. On the other hand, the U.S. Retail Bank segment saw a 12% decline in adjusted net income.

In light of these developments, TD Bank has indicated that earnings growth may prove challenging in fiscal 2025 due to a transition year and investments in risk management and control infrastructure. The bank's strategic review is seen as a pivotal moment for it to recalibrate its approach to navigate through these constraints effectively. These are recent developments in the financial landscape of TD Bank.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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