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Wall Street Continues Rally Post Jobs Report

Published 05/01/2018, 16:39
Updated 03/08/2021, 16:15

Europe

European equity markets had a strong start to the day but have stalled a bit since the release of the US non-farm payrolls report. The headline jobs figures came in below estimates, and even though the previous months figure was revised higher, it failed to boost sentiment.

The FTSE 100 reached a fresh all-time high today but has since retreated. The biggest gainers in the London equity benchmark are Centrica (LON:CNA) and United Utilities (LON:UU) as Credit Suisse (SIX:CSGN) upped their ratings for both stocks.

The eurozone indices such the DAX, CAC 40 and the FTSE MIB are higher on the session as the respective countries posted solid manufacturing and services figures this week. Today the inflation rate in the eurozone fell back to 1.4%, from 1.5%. The slide in the cost of living could leave the door open to additional monetary easing from the ECB, and this is also helping Continental stocks.

Shares in Johnson Service Group (LON:JSG) are up 1.4% after the company stated that trading is going well, and it should exceed its full-year guidance. The share price has been pushing higher since 2012 and if the upward trend continues it could target 160p.

US

It's business as usual on Wall Street as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 all post new record highs. The bullish sentiment surrounding American stocks was fuelled by the announcement of the latest non-farm payrolls report.

In December, the US only added 148,000 jobs and that was way below the 190,000 that was expected. On the bright side the November figure was revised higher to 252,000 from 228,000. Unemployment remained at 4.1% and average earnings on a monthly basis came in at 0.3%, while traders were expecting 0.2%. Overall the report was so-so. The fact that the headline figure missed expectations damps down rate hike prospects, which is good for equity markets. The figures paint a picture of an US jobs market that motoring along. The major American indices are looking quiet over stretched, but the buying appetite doesn’t appear to be waning.

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FX

GBP/USD is largely unchanged on the day even though it experience high volatility on the back of the US jobs report. The pound has been gaining ground versus the US dollar since March last year, and even though we have seen some pullbacks from time to time, the positive trend is still in place. There were no major economic announcements from the UK today, but traders are still mindful of the strong services data yesterday. The fall in the pound in the wake of the EU referendum is helping the British economy.

EUR/USD is lower on the day after as the drop in the inflation rate in the eurozone put pressure on the single currency. Eurozone CPI slipped back to 1.4% in December, meeting expectations. The November reading was 1.5%, and this decline in the cost of living will concern the European Central Bank (ECB) chief Mario Draghi. The languishing inflation rate in the eurozone could prompt Mr Draghi to keep the ECB’s monetary policy loose, as it suggests that consumer demand is weak. The euro had a good run recently so this was an excuse to take profits.

Commodities

Gold is slightly softer today in the wake of the US jobs report. The disappointing headline figure sparked a flurry of buying, but then traders realised the remainder of the report was robust and then the market turned south. Gold has been pushing since mid-December and while its holds above $1300 we could see the positive move continue.

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WTI and Brent Crude are in the red are profit taking from the recent positive run has kicked in. The political protests in Iran, the robust manufacturing figures from around the globe, and the extremely cold weather in the US drove oil to a new two and a half year high during the week. Dealers are locking in their profits ahead of the weekend.

At 6pm (UK time) Baker Hughes will announce the active rig count and the consensus is for a reading of 747, unchanged from the previous reading.

DISCLAIMER: CMC Markets is an execution only provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only, and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.

No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

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