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Volatility is Increasing in Crude Oil

ByAndrey Goilov
Published 20/03/2023, 11:56
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The crude oil market remains turbulent. A Brent barrel on Monday again got under pressure and fell to 72.30 USD.

Over last week, crude oil quotes lost almost 12%, which makes 10 USD, a more than significant decline. The sales were triggered by problems in the US and European banking sectors. Fears about new increases in the interest rate by the CBs made investors flee from risks. The growth of the rates could worsen the banking crisis, and this is not a thing that many would enjoy.

The fundamental background for crude oil has not changed much. At the OPEC+ level they think that black gold prices will stabilise as soon as the financial shock is over.

Current crude oil prices quite agree with the parameters earlier set by the US administration for filling up strategic reserves. This driver could support the quotes.

On the H4 chart of Brent, the level of 78.38 has broken, and a wave of decline to 70.30 continues. The target is local. After it is reached, a correction to 78.30 is not excluded. Then the price might drop to 67.87. Technically, this scenario is confirmed by the MACD. Its signal line is below zero in the histogram area, which suggests a decline to new lows.

Brent forecast

On H1, Brent is developing a structure of a declining wave towards 70.27. The target is local. After it is reached, a link of growth to 78.28 might follow. Technically, this scenario is confirmed by the Stochastic oscillator. Its signal line is under 50 and is directed strictly upwards, right to 20.

Brent forecast

Disclaimer
Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author's particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

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