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Russell 2000 Bulls Look to Build on Last Week's Bull Flag Breakout

Published 15/10/2024, 07:23
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After weeks of inaction the Russell 2000 (IWM) finally made its move.

A surge out of its 'bull flag', which also took out the various upper spikes, has put the index on catchup with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Technicals returned net 'bullish'.IWM-Daily Chart

The S&P 500 moved to new highs on a return to net bullish technicals. The index is still underperforming the Nasdaq, which suggests this is orderly buying (of new stocks?) than a short covering escapade. Liking the action here.SPX-Daily Chart

S&P investor sentiment has remained consistent and it doesn't suggest a peak has been reached.

SPX-Daily Price Chart

Supporting technicals in the relationship between Consumer Discretionary (NYSE:XLY) and Consumer Staples (NYSE:XLP) have emerged from a pattern similar to that for the bottom in 2009.

The main difference is this lead-out is happening much faster than it did in 2009/10, but this looks to be a secular bullish move.

XLY-XLP Ratio-Monthly Chart

The Dow Transports is also leading towards a major breakout which would confirm the secular move in the Dow Jones Index and S&P.

Dow Transportation Index-Weekly Chart

The number of new highs in the NYSE is steadily rising, where market peaks are associated with bearish divergences in such peaks, so no bear market here either.NYLOW-Price Chart

Finally, the Nasdaq is working towards a challenge of July highs. Supporting technicals are bullish and I would be looking for new all-time highs in the coming weeks.Nasdaq Composite-Daily Chart

Like a plug being removed from a dam, action over the last couple of days has consumed up supply that had been suppressing challenges of all-time highs for the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 ($IWM).

Things look clearer for markets now and it's now up to the various indices to deliver.

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