Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

The economic rebound in the second half of 2022 looks challenged in early estimates for first quarter GDP, based on the median for a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.US output is on...

US stocks fell on TuesdayYesterday was the first trading day of the week because the market was closed on Monday for Presidents day.All three major indexes have registered losses.The S&P 500...

Economically speaking, bullish bets are mounting on a “no landing” scenario, which suggests the economy will avoid a recession entirely. As noted by Yahoo Finance last Friday: “The...

The February Fed minutes may reveal that rates have to go much higher.It will be a holiday-shortened trading week, but it will still be full of market-moving data. The Fed minutes will be released on...

Recently I was shocked after speaking with five different investors on the phone. These investors have been involved in the markets for many years, and they trade their accounts. Surprisingly, not a...

We recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) and the inverted yield curve. “As in 2019, we see many of the same recession signals from...

US stock dropped on ThursdayYesterday was a negative day for Wall Street.All three major indexes have registered losses.The S&P 500 finished at -1.38%, the Nasdaq ended the trading session at...

Data steepens the curves from the back endRates were pressured higher on the back of the much-better-than-expected retail sales data. A potential weather-related bounce in the data for January had...

Higher-for-Longer Narrative Hurts Bond LongsMonthly US inflation came in line with expectations in January. After hesitating, rates went resolutely higher. Given the lack of a clear signal in the CPI...

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently stated: “You don’t have a recession when you have the lowest unemployment rate in 53 years.” Let’s HOPE she is correct. As logical...

Wall Street finished mixed yesterdayOn Monday, the trading session has been positive only for the Nasdaq, while the other two major indexes reported losses.The S&P 500 finished almost flat at...

Despite coming in below the previous reading, U.S. inflation data was slightly above expectations The initial market reaction was a mixed bag However, it is likely that inflation could fall sharply...

Wall Street rallied on MondayYesterday was a positive day for the US stock market.All three big indexes closed in profit.The S&P 500 closed at +1.14%, the Nasdaq ended the trading session at...

The market correction has started. The question we have repeatedly discussed over the last several weeks is the ongoing battle between bullish technical improvements and bearish fundamentals.On...