Market Overview Analysis & Opinion

Stocks finished lower as risk-off seemed to be a theme yesterday, with oil prices slumping below $70. Oil has been a harbinger of all things these days, and the best thing that can happen with oil, at...

The US was supposed to be in recession by now, according to numerous forecasts from early in 2023. But the bearish forecasts have fallen flat as output has remained positive. GDP surged in the third...

After hiking rates by 5.25% since March 2022, the Fed is in a wait-and-see period, commonly deemed a pause. Since the Fed started hiking rates, inflation has declined meaningfully but remains...

Stocks finished flat, with the S&P 500 falling just six bps. Most of the weaknesses yesterday came in the equal-weighted S&P 500, with the RSP ETF falling by almost 85 bps.Meanwhile, we saw...

Recent disinflation trends have made rate cuts more likely next year And, tech companies may be beneficiaries of the new bull market So, we will take a look at three tech stocks that are likely to...

Investor sentiment continues to rise and is increasingly outperforming its historical average (48.8% vs. 37.5%). November was not only very good for the stock markets but also for the 60/40...

Who are the biggest whales in the bond market?If you go around and ask this question, most people would tell you that’s either the Fed or foreign Central Banks like the Bank of Japan or the...

MON: Rabobank Minutes (Dec); German Trade Balance (Oct), Swiss CPI (Nov), EZ Sen tix (Dec), US Factory Orders (Oct), Japanese CPI (Nov), Australian Final PMIs (Nov). TUE: RBA Policy Announcement;...

I previously discussed a slate of recessionary indicators with high correlations to recessionary onsets. However, as we head into 2024, many Wall Street economists predict a “soft landing”...

US: trend towards weaker hiring in November jobs report expected We are building up to the Federal Reserve’s 13 December FOMC meeting, where the widely held view is that the central bank will...

U.S. stocks ended November on a high note as cooling inflation boosted hopes the Fed is done hiking. December is expected to be another strong month as per recent history. Looking for a helping hand...

Financial “wisdom” is said to be cyclical rather than cumulative, but that’s unfair. At least in the dominion of portfolio management and design, academics and money managers have...

“For me, context is the key – from that comes the understanding of everything.” - Abstract Artist Kenneth Noland. That holds true for us as well! Proper context is required to...

Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's longtime partner at Berkshire Hathaway, passed away peacefully at 99, leaving an indelible mark on the company's success. Acknowledging Munger's vital role, Warren...