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1. US payrolls – 06/09 Where is the bar for a Fed rate cut in September, and will it be 25bp or 50bps?. This week’s August payrolls report needs to continue the trend of decent jobs...
Pound set for mixed week despite Brexit headlines The news flow this week has been dominated by Brexit, with the latest developments filling many column inches as Boris Johnson appears to have played...
Historically, September Has Been A Bearish Month For USD/CHF Using historical data, we’ve mapped out a seasonal matrix for FX majors and noted the bearish tendency for USD/CHF in...
US and China are to resume in-person trade talks in September after Trump said the discussion was already on the way later today. On Sunday, the US is set to collect a further 15% on Chinese...
What a difference a few days makes, as well as a slight change of tone from both China as well as the US. The decision by China to hold back on any retaliation in response to last week’s US...
The markets managed to muster some rebounding energy on Thursday, clinging to any positive hints regarding the trade war. While Trump’s team weren’t particularly enthusiastic in their most...
It's been a volatile month for markets, with the fallout from the ongoing trade war, attacks on the Fed, Brexit and Italian elections (to name a few rivers). This may feel counter to how markets...
The higher close on Wall Street didn’t spill over into Asian trade overnight. US stocks rose on Wednesday as the energy sector was lifted by higher oil prices. However, the sentiment was kept in...
A look at how markets have performed following a US 10-2 yield curve inversion. Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you may have heard a thing or two about the yield curve inverting in the...
After a negative start the FTSE had moved into positive territory by mid-morning. The weaker pound was boosting those stocks that earn abroad, whilst a rally in oil was lifting the likes of BP ...
Europe After two days of gains markets in Europe have slipped back, weighed down by uncertainty as to where the next political or economic catalyst for a move is likely to come from. Against such an...
Chinese officials suggest President Trump lied about receiving a call to reopen trade negotiations 10-year yields are at lowest since July 2016 Oil rebounds for third straight day Key...
We suggest keeping a close eye on the monthly close on NZD, given the importance of the technical juncture it sits at. We can see on the monthly close that that NZD/USD is on the cusp of...
Asian markets had a mixed and muted session overnight despite Wall Street closing lower. Concerns over the health of the global economy and over the trade dispute are keeping optimism after the G7 in...
With DAX having risen to a pivotal zone of resistance, we highlight two clear scenarios worth monitoring. As highlighted by my colleague Matt Weller, indices are locked within a range whilst they...