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The potential for Donald Trump to secure a second term as President of the United States raises significant concerns, particularly regarding economic stability and governance. A thorough examination...
I expect volatility to increase this week, particularly with VIX options expiring on Wednesday. The current VIX option positions suggest that the VIX may remain around the 15 level, which means the...
There’s no doubt the bulls are back, but my concern over a bearish September is still here. Traders have setups across the board, but risk management is going to be key for now! Economic Calendar...
Learn how the 2024 elections could affect your trading portfolio. Read what traders & investors need to know about the election's impact on financial markets.
MON: US Democratic National Convention (Aug 19-22), Bank of Indonesia Announcement, New Zealand Trade Balance (Jul) TUE: US Democratic National Convention (Aug 19-22), PBoC LPR, RBA Minutes,...
Welcome to our weekly Friday reading suggestions. This week, we delve into a range of topics, from UK banking stocks to the relationship between financial markets and economic models. Our curated...
A lot can happen over the course of a week when it comes to the crowd’s fickle sentiment du jour on matters of recession. At this time a week ago the headlines warned that a contraction, if it hadn’t...
Stocks kept rising because retail sales and jobless claims data were better than expected. This is the second week in a row that stocks have jumped after a good jobless claims report. I’m not sure if...
Last week, I wrote an article entitled “Reasons For A Crash.” And, I will let you in on a little secret – I actually wrote that title as a test. You see, I assumed that the great majority of those...
It was only a few months ago (with the March CPI report in April) that I was talking about a ‘Potential Pony Situation’ in my podcast when, after an unsettling Core CPI, I pointed out that the Median...
A recent article co-authored by Stephen Miran and Dr. Nouriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom, accuses the U.S. Treasury Department of using its debt-issuance powers to manipulate financial conditions. They...
Markets are bracing for a key CPI report today. This data comes amid growing recession fears after weak labor market data. A lower-than-expected print could drive a stock rally, but a...
Stocks finished the day higher yesterday after a weaker-than-expected PPI report. Although rates fell, it didn’t result in a significant yield curve steepening, and the dollar was only slightly...
Early assessments of third-quarter economic activity for the US point to a slowdown vs. Q2, based on the median nowcast for estimates compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. The downshift is prominent, but...
Just over a month has gone by since the latest CPI data was released in the US and so much has happened since. Markets endured what is possibly the biggest scare since the pandemic, but the economic...
US markets struggled for direction ahead of what could be a defining week, when further clues on inflation and retail sales will be revealed. It remains to be seen whether the virtually flat line...