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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Kathleen Brooks
Bond Yields Versus Central banks By Kathleen Brooks - May 14, 2015

The recent spike higher in global bond yields is partly due to the bounce higher in the Oil price in recent weeks and rising expectations that inflation could start to build in the coming months. This...

Robert Bewell
Long Dated Bonds At Risk By Robert Bewell - Dec 23, 2014

Background Fixed Income investors have enjoyed more than 30 years of falling yields and rising prices. These are two sides of the same coin; if yields rise then prices fall or vice-versa. Industry...

Steve Lucas
Bund Futures: Corrective Decline To Deepen By Steve Lucas - Sep 15, 2014

Last week saw the setback in the German 10 YR Bund from all-time highs deepen. A 2nd negative weekly performance in a row resulted – and the most aggressive decline of 2014. The daily Keltner...

Steve Lucas
Bund Futures: Channel Still Bullish By Steve Lucas - Aug 29, 2014

An early setback for Bund Futures on Thursday proved more limited than expected before demand reasserted. The resulting upside kept Bunds near the top of a rising Keltner channel, supported by...

Steve Lucas
Bunds peak with yields at 1% By Steve Lucas - Aug 15, 2014

Wed’s renewal of demand for Bunds extended yesterday. This move to new contract highs and, importantly, yields of 1% kept prices ‘hugging’ the top of a positive Keltner channel....

Steve Lucas
Bund Futures - Failing Upside By Steve Lucas - Jul 16, 2014

There has been a net movement of 16-tics in Bund futures over the last 5 trading days. This lack of follow through in either direction cannot provide strong signals for sentiment. However, although...

Steve Lucas
Bunds - Upside Failure Turns Focus Lower By Steve Lucas - Jun 24, 2014

Yesterday saw initial gains in German Bunds that approached last week's peak. Those levels were not reached however, and more than half of the initial upside was lost into the close. While the 13 day...

Steve Lucas
Bund Gains Stall By Steve Lucas - Jun 17, 2014

Recent consolidation in bunds was further emphasised by yesterday's unchanged close. The price range was narrow with initial highs and subsequent lows rejected. The market remains above the 13 day...

Kathleen Brooks
What Are US Treasury Yields Telling Us? By Kathleen Brooks - May 29, 2014

A little while back we wrote that the US yield curve was sounding a warning about the US economic outlook. Longer-term yields have been falling at a faster pace than shorter term yields (as can be...

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