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The US Dollar's Sudden 2% Plunge And Resilient Rebound - The Ripple Effect On Exchange Markets

Published 07/11/2023, 14:05
Updated 07/11/2023, 15:10
© Reuters.  The US Dollar's Sudden 2% Plunge And Resilient Rebound - The Ripple Effect On Exchange Markets
USD/JPY
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Benzinga - by Zaheer Anwari, Benzinga Contributor.

  • October's labor market performance fell short of expectations, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and providing support for the dollar.
  • Following the Non-Farm Payroll report, the dollar experienced a 1% decline.
  • The dollar has seen a notable 14% increase against the Japanese yen this year.
The US dollar showcased its resilience as it rebounded from a strong support level, signaling a potential uptrend.

This comes amid speculation that the Federal Reserve may not tighten its monetary policy further, a sentiment bolstered by the latest job growth data.

October's labor market performance fell short of expectations, potentially impacting the Federal Reserve's approach to interest rates.

As the central bank strives to achieve maximum employment and stable prices, interest rate adjustments are frequently employed to manage economic growth and inflation.

Given the underwhelming job growth, the prospects of maintaining current interest rates have risen, providing support for the dollar.

The currency experienced significant fluctuations at the close of last week, triggered by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, resulting in a 1% decline in the value of the dollar.

This momentary weakness proved advantageous for other prominent currencies as the pound sterling and the euro capitalized on the dollar's decline, appreciating by 1.44% and 0.95% against it, respectively.

The start of the new week revealed a contrasting scenario. Despite a small decrease on Monday, the dollar quickly recovered and remained above the important support level of 104.61, which is equivalent to the highest point in May 2023.

This rebound demonstrates the dollar's strong foundation and indicates a potentially stable situation that could lead to additional advances in the currency.

If this upward trend continues, surpassing the high of 107.05 from October 2023 could provide an opportunity for a much larger rally.

The US dollar's performance has been impressive against the Japanese yen. The USD/JPY pair has experienced a significant 14% growth this year, indicating a strong upward trend is in play.

Although the previous high of 151.94 from last year is currently acting as a strong support level, the dollar's ongoing strength has the potential to push it even higher.

After the closing bell on Monday, November 6, the currency closed at $105.04, trading up by 0.17%.

© 2023 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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