Benzinga - by Zaheer Anwari, Benzinga Contributor.
- Gold is currently on a downward trend, primarily driven by a strengthening US dollar.
- Since August 2020, gold prices have been oscillating between $1,614 and $2,081.
The main cause is a strong US dollar and the potential for higher US interest rates.
When the US dollar gains value, it reduces the appeal of gold for those holding other currencies.
This isn't limited to gold alone. Other precious metals like silver and palladium have also seen their market values decline.
Gold hasn't been at this level since March 10. Regardless, given the current market dynamics, analysts are predicting that gold prices might dip below $1,800.
Yet, for gold to reach that level, considering its current support level is crucial. At the moment, gold is hovering just above its weekly 200 simple moving average, which is set at $1,815.
This moving average has historically served as a strong support level.
Its strength was evident between September and November of 2022, when the price briefly dipped below this moving average but quickly regained its bullish momentum, resuming the upward move.
Since the recent peak that was created in May, gold prices have declined by 12%.
To truly understand the trajectory of gold prices, one must take a step back and observe the bigger picture.
Since August 2020, gold prices have fluctuated within a significant consolidation range.
This range is defined by a support level of $1,614 and a cap of $2,081. Considering the breadth of this range, it is entirely possible for a trend to emerge within these boundaries.
Historical data indicates that gold tends to consolidate for extended periods. But once it starts a trend, it often maintains that momentum for years.
This characteristic highlights the importance of patience for both investors and traders. As history has demonstrated, the potential rewards can be substantial.
In the current scenario, monitoring how the price interacts with its existing support level is crucial.
This interaction will provide valuable insights into the imminent direction of the price.
Considering the strength of the US dollar, there is a possibility of witnessing further weakness in gold prices.
As always, maintaining vigilance is essential in navigating these unpredictable financial terrains.
After the closing bell on Tuesday, October 3, the commodity closed at $1822.70, trading down by 0.27%.
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