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Bitcoin surges to $106K, up 50% since US election: will the rally last?

Published 16/12/2024, 08:31
© Reuters.  Bitcoin surges to $106K, up 50% since US election: will the rally last?
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Invezz.com - Bitcoin’s meteoric rise has captured global attention as it surged past $106,000, marking an unprecedented 50% gain since the US election earlier this month.

The cryptocurrency market has been electrified by speculation that President-elect Donald Trump’s administration will adopt a friendlier stance toward digital assets.

Analysts at Reuters suggest this rally is buoyed by expectations of a pro-crypto regulatory environment and the potential creation of a bitcoin strategic reserve, similar to the United States’ strategic oil reserve.

With the total cryptocurrency market value surpassing $3.8 trillion, questions arise over the sustainability of this extraordinary rally.

Bitcoin rallies 50% post-election

Bitcoin price reached $106,533, before settling at $104,462, a 3.2% gain on Monday.

This significant milestone comes as Trump’s administration signals a shift in the nation’s cryptocurrency strategy.

In his recent remarks, Trump hinted at establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve, a move aimed at reinforcing US dominance in the digital asset space.

This announcement coincides with the increasing global adoption of cryptocurrencies.

The United States already holds nearly 200,000 Bitcoins, valued at over $20 billion.

Other nations, including China, the UK, Bhutan, and El Salvador, have also amassed substantial bitcoin reserves, further underscoring the growing role of crypto in national financial strategies.

Global interest in crypto grows

The prospect of a Bitcoin reserve is not unique to the United States.

Countries like Russia have shown interest in diversifying their reserves to reduce reliance on the US dollar, which President Vladimir Putin criticized as being wielded for political leverage.

Cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, are seen as an alternative asset immune to direct control by any single government.

However, the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remains skeptical.

Jerome Powell recently compared Bitcoin to gold, highlighting its speculative nature.

Despite this, the momentum in the crypto market suggests a broader acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value.

Crypto-friendly policies boost market sentiment

The anticipation of crypto-friendly policies has played a crucial role in the current rally. Trump’s pro-crypto stance during his campaign included promises to make the United States a “crypto capital.”

His administration has already taken steps to deliver on these pledges, such as appointing David Sacks, a former PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) executive, as the White House czar for artificial intelligence and cryptocurrencies.

Moreover, Trump is expected to nominate Paul Atkins, a pro-crypto attorney, to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The inclusion of MicroStrategy, a company with substantial bitcoin holdings, in the Nasdaq-100 Index has further fuelled optimism.

Shares of MicroStrategy have surged six-fold this year, reaching a market value of $94 billion. Analysts believe its inclusion will attract significant inflows, amplifying the company’s ability to purchase more Bitcoin.

Can the rally sustain its momentum?

Despite the bullish sentiment, analysts caution that the establishment of a Bitcoin reserve could take considerable time and may face regulatory hurdles.

Some market watchers also point out that the rapid price increase might lead to profit-taking, resulting in temporary pullbacks.

Nevertheless, the broader market appears optimistic. Bitcoin’s year-to-date gains of 192% reflect its growing appeal among both retail and institutional investors.

With Trump’s administration poised to introduce measures favoring digital assets, the question remains: Can Bitcoin sustain its record-breaking rally, or will it face a reality check as regulatory complexities come into play?

This article first appeared on Invezz.com

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