🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Euro zone consumers see inflation slightly above ECB target for years

Published 11/10/2023, 09:07
Updated 11/10/2023, 09:45
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A shopping trolley is seen as customers shop at a Carrefour supermarket in Montesson near Paris, France, September 13, 2023. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
EUR/GBP
-
EUR/JPY
-
EUR/CHF
-

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -Euro zone households see inflation staying slightly above the European Central Bank's 2% target for another three years, an ECB survey showed, as rate-setters struggle to convince the public that their plans for taming price pressures are on track.

While consumer expectations for inflation are by nature imprecise, they can influence wage demands, spending and saving.

They are also an important input in gauging whether the public has faith in the ECB achieving its inflation goal, amid a global debate about whether such targets should be raised.

The ECB's Consumer Expectation Survey, carried out in August and released on Wednesday, showed the median respondent thought inflation would be 2.5% in three years' time, up from 2.4% in the previous survey around a month earlier.

Consumers' views about inflation in the coming 12 months showed a slight increase to 3.5%, from 3.4% in July.

The ECB has said that long-term inflation expectations from economists, investors and consumers are "at around 2%", but cautioned that some projections have risen and should be monitored.

The central bank for the 20 countries that use the euro raised the rate it pays on bank deposits to a record-high of 4.0% last month as part of its bid to bring down inflation, which briefly hit double digits a year ago amid high energy costs and post-pandemic boom in demand, while supply chains were still disrupted.

The ECB now expects prices to rise by 5.6% this year, 3.2% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A shopping trolley is seen as customers shop at a Carrefour supermarket in Montesson near Paris, France, September 13, 2023. REUTERS/Sarah Meyssonnier/File Photo

Wednesday's survey also showed households took a slightly dimmer view of the economy, which they expected to contract by 0.8% in the coming 12 months, compared with 0.7% in July.

But they turned more optimistic about their income - seen growing by 1.2% from 1.1% - and raised their predictions for home price inflation, to 2.3% from 2.1%, for the first time since March.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.