🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

UK inflation inches up in July, core inflation hits five-month high

Published 18/08/2015, 13:25
© Reuters. A shopping trolley is pushed around a supermarket in London
BARC
-

By Ana Nicolaci da Costa and Andy Bruce

LONDON (Reuters) - British consumer prices rose in July and core inflation hit a five-month high, triggering market bets on the Bank of England moving slightly faster than previously expected once it starts raising interest rates.

The timing of the first hike remains unclear, however, comments from economists suggested.

Tuesday's data showed annual consumer price inflation unexpectedly ticked up 0.1 percent in July from zero and the underlying measure - which strips out energy, food, alcohol and tobacco - rose to its highest level since February.

The Office for National Statistics said the rise was helped by smaller discounts to clothing and footwear prices compared to this time last year, a factor economists said would be temporary.

But sterling rallied and British government bonds fell, indicating a slightly steeper path for future British interest rates.

Economists were split on the implications of the data for BoE policy.

"Today's news on core inflation doesn't offer much comfort to the doves (in the BoE's rate-setting committee)," said Sam Hill, senior UK economist at RBC Capital Markets, adding that the policy debate would be lively now that the rate-setter vote was split.

Analysts at Barclays (LONDON:BARC) said the data would not significantly shift the narrative for policymakers, and that the rise in core inflation might reverse in August.

Markets recently pushed back expectations for the timing of Britain's first rate hike in years after only one member of the Monetary Policy Committee voted for an increase in August, against expectations that two or more would do so.

But since then, rate-setter Kristin Forbes has highlighted the dangers to the economy of prolonged, record low borrowing costs.

Given that rising sterling and falling commodity prices are curbing inflation, BoE officials have said they are increasingly looking at core inflation to assess when to start tightening policy.

While low inflation has boosted Britons' purchasing power, it has also made it more difficult for the BoE to exit its ultra-easy monetary policy of recent years.

Core inflation rose to 1.2 percent in July from 0.8 percent in June.

© Reuters. A shopping trolley is pushed around a supermarket in London

Separate data showed house prices rose 5.7 percent in the year to June, up from 5.6 percent in May.

(editing by John Stonestreet)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.