🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Russian central bank cuts key rate by 50 bps, warns on cooling economy

Published 31/07/2015, 12:16
© Reuters. A pharmacist receives a Russian 1000-rouble banknote from a customer buying medicine at a drugstore in the Siberian town of Divnogorsk near Krasnoyarsk

MOSCOW (Reuters) - Russia's central bank cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 11 percent on Friday as expected, saying risks of the economy cooling now outweighed inflation risks.

"The balance of risks shifts towards the considerable economic cooling despite a slight increase in inflation risks," the bank said in a statement.

The bank also said that an unexpectedly severe contraction in domestic demand in the first half of 2015 meant that it may revise down its output forecast. The bank had previously forecast a 3.2 percent GDP contraction in 2015.

The 50 basis point cut means the central bank has now cut its one-week minimum auction repo rate by a cumulative 6 percentage points in 2015 <RUCBIR=ECI>.

Analysts had expected a cautious half-point cut rather than a bigger one because a recent slide in the rouble threatens to reignite inflation.

The rouble, which had already been down over 1 percent before the central bank decision, fell further after the cut. At 1112 GMT the rouble was down around 2.1 percent at 61.00 against the dollar <RUBUTSTN=MCX>.

In its statement the bank said consumer price inflation stood at 15.8 percent as of July 27, up from 15.3 percent in June, but it called the acceleration a temporary result of utility tariff increases.

It predicted that inflation would fall to 7 percent in July 2016 and to 4 percent in 2017, meeting the bank's target, with low money supply growth and slack domestic demand helping to bring inflation down.

© Reuters. A pharmacist receives a Russian 1000-rouble banknote from a customer buying medicine at a drugstore in the Siberian town of Divnogorsk near Krasnoyarsk

"The Bank of Russia will further decide on its key rate depending on the balance of inflation risks and risks of economy cooling," the bank said - a more dovish outlook compared with last month when the bank had described potential for monetary easing as "limited by inflation risks in the next few months".

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.