🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

German inflation hits five-year low before crucial ECB meeting

Published 05/01/2015, 13:53
© Reuters. A woman looks at goods in a supermarket in the western city of Herne

By Noah Barkin

BERLIN (Reuters) - German inflation slowed to its lowest level in over five years in December, raising pressure on European Central Bank President Mario Draghi to unveil unconventional measures later this month to ward off a deflationary spiral in the euro zone.

Preliminary data showed on Monday that annual inflation, harmonised for comparison with other European countries, fell to just 0.1 percent from 0.5 percent in November. Non-harmonised data showed consumer prices increasing 0.2 percent year-on-year in December, down from 0.6 percent in the previous month.

Both readings were below the expectations of economists polled by Reuters and represented the lowest readings since October 2009.

The slowdown, which was driven by a fall in energy prices, reinforced expectations that the ECB will decide at a meeting later this month to buy the debt of euro zone governments, aiming to push inflation back up towards its target of just below two percent.

"It is very possible that the inflation rate in the euro zone will turn negative," said Holger Sandte, an economist at Nordea Bank. "That increases the likelihood that the ECB will announce a bond-buying programme on Jan. 22."

Inflation data for the entire 19-nation euro zone is due on Wednesday.

The evidence of slowing German inflation came days after Draghi gave an extensive interview to German daily Handelsblatt in which he warned that the downside risks to price stability had risen over the past half year.

He also confirmed that the ECB stood ready to introduce new measures if necessary in early 2015. Speculation is rife that Draghi could unveil plans for mass purchases of euro zone government bonds - a step known as quantitative easing (QE) - to tackle the threat of deflation.

The inflation data could give him additional ammunition to convince wavering members of the ECB's Governing Council to back QE, though Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann has signalled that he will oppose such a step.

Jennifer McKeown at Capital Economics, said that if prices in the euro zone fell in December, the pressure for QE would become "irresistible".

The big question for the markets is how the ECB might structure a QE programme - for example whether Greek bonds will be included given uncertainty over the outcome of an election being held on Jan. 25, three days after the next ECB meeting.

© Reuters. A woman looks at goods in a supermarket in the western city of Herne

The far-left Syriza party, which has vowed to reverse the austerity measures that were a condition for Greek bailout packages totalling 240 billion euros, holds a narrow lead in opinion polls.

(Reporting by Noah Barkin; Editing by Peter Graff and David Stamp)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.