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Wells Fargo bullish on Netflix stock price citing margin outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 19/04/2024, 11:28
© Reuters.

On Friday, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) maintained an Overweight rating on Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) stock, while increasing the price target to $726 from $650. The revised target reflects a positive outlook on the company's operational leverage and margin potential, bolstered by strong revenue growth expectations.

The firm's analyst projects a 17% higher earnings per share (EPS) for Netflix in 2025 compared to the consensus estimate, setting the figure at $25. The new price target is based on a 29 times calendar year 2025 price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which the analyst believes is warranted given the anticipated 30% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in EPS over the next five years.

The bullish stance on Netflix's margins comes after the company increased its operating income (OI) margin forecast for 2024 from 24% to 25%, based on January 2024 foreign exchange rates. Despite a slight margin dip in the first quarter, the analyst expects Netflix to have considerable leeway in managing its operational leverage, particularly through its content and advertising investments.

Wells Fargo's analysis suggests that Netflix's OI margins could outperform market expectations, with projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 at 25%, 29%, and 32% respectively. These figures surpass the Street's estimates by 134 basis points for 2024, 289 basis points for 2025, and 394 basis points for 2026, indicating a potential upside in operating income.

InvestingPro Insights

As Wells Fargo sets an optimistic tone for Netflix's future, real-time data from InvestingPro aligns with this positive sentiment. With a market capitalization of $263.09 billion and a P/E ratio of 49.63, Netflix's valuation reflects its status as a prominent player in the entertainment industry. The company's revenue growth is notable, with a 6.67% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, and an even more impressive 12.49% quarterly revenue growth in Q1 2023. This financial robustness is complemented by a solid operating income margin of 20.62% and a high return on assets of 11.11%, underscoring the operational efficiency that Wells Fargo anticipates.

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InvestingPro Tips further highlight Netflix's financial health and market position. Analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, reflecting confidence in the company's performance. Additionally, Netflix's liquidity is strong, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, and it operates with a moderate level of debt. For investors seeking detailed analyses and additional insights, there are 17 more InvestingPro Tips available for Netflix, which can be explored with a special offer: use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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