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'We expect AstraZeneca strong revenue to continue', Morgan Stanley bullish on stock

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/07/2024, 10:24
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On Friday, AstraZeneca PLC (LON:AZN:LN) (NASDAQ: AZN) stock maintained its Overweight rating and GBP145.00 price target from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS). The firm anticipates the pharmaceutical company's revenue growth to remain robust, projecting a 16% constant exchange rate (CER) growth for the first half of 2024.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley also foresee the possibility of AstraZeneca (NASDAQ:AZN) raising its full-year 2024 revenue guidance, which currently stands at "low double digit to low teens" growth.

The positive outlook is partly based on the expectation that the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) conference, scheduled for September 13-17, 2024, could be a catalyst for potential revenue diversification upgrades. This event is particularly significant as it arrives at a time when the pipeline newsflow for the latter half of the year is expected to be limited.

The ESMO conference is an important event for pharmaceutical companies like AstraZeneca, as it provides an opportunity to present new research findings and updates on their product pipelines. Any announcements made during this conference can have a significant impact on companies' stock valuations and investor sentiment.

In other recent news, AstraZeneca's drugs Lynparza and Imfinzi have received a positive recommendation from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use for the treatment of certain advanced or recurrent endometrial cancers.

This recommendation is based on the DUO-E Phase III clinical trial results, which demonstrated a significant improvement in progression-free survival compared to chemotherapy alone.

In parallel, AstraZeneca's Imfinzi, combined with chemotherapy, has shown a statistically significant improvement in event-free survival and overall survival for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer in the NIAGARA Phase III trial.

However, AstraZeneca's Imfinzi did not meet the primary endpoint of disease-free survival in the ADJUVANT BR.31 Phase III trial for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer.

Despite this, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has approved AstraZeneca's Imfinzi for treating adults with primary advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer that is mismatch repair deficient.

Analyst firms including Citi, BMO Capital, and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) have maintained positive ratings on AstraZeneca stock due to these recent developments.

InvestingPro Insights

Morgan Stanley's confidence in AstraZeneca's future performance is echoed by the company's solid financial metrics. AstraZeneca's market capitalization stands at a robust $242.04 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the pharmaceutical industry. The company's revenue growth has been impressive, with an 8.6% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, and an even more remarkable quarterly revenue growth of 16.55% for Q1 2024. This aligns with Morgan Stanley's projection of strong revenue growth and suggests a healthy financial outlook for the company.

On the valuation front, AstraZeneca's P/E ratio is currently at 38.18, which, while high, may be justified by the company's growth prospects and dominant market position. The P/E ratio adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 is slightly lower at 28.96, indicating that the market has positive expectations for the company's earnings potential. Additionally, the company's gross profit margin stands at an impressive 82.5%, showcasing its ability to maintain profitability.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that AstraZeneca is expected to see net income growth this year and has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years, which is a testament to its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. However, it's also noted that the stock is trading at a high earnings multiple and near its 52-week high, which may suggest caution for value-oriented investors. For those interested in exploring further, there are over 15 additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering deeper insights into AstraZeneca's financial health and stock performance. To gain access to these exclusive tips and make more informed investment decisions, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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