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VF Corp stock target cut by $3 on challenging outlook

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 23/05/2024, 12:02
VFC
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On Thursday, VF Corp (NYSE:VFC) experienced a revision in its financial outlook as Baird maintained a Neutral rating but reduced the company's price target from $16.00 to $13.00.

The adjustment reflects about an 11.5 times target next twelve months (NTM) enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) ratio. The decision by Baird comes in the wake of VF Corp's fourth fiscal quarter results, which did not meet the consensus expectations, with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) miss of $0.33.

The shortfall in VF Corp's quarterly performance was attributed to ongoing difficulties in sales growth, particularly within the Vans brand and the Americas wholesale sector. Additionally, the company faced increased pressure on gross margins.

Despite these hurdles, VF Corp's management has shown optimism regarding the company's strategic initiatives, leadership transitions – including the announcement of a new Chief Financial Officer – and improvements to the balance sheet.

However, the company's forward-looking free cash flow (FCF) guidance for fiscal year 2025 is less than anticipated, with expectations falling below $600 million, excluding asset sales. This projection, combined with a challenging forecast for the first quarter and persistently high leverage, is expected to continue affecting investor sentiment in the near term.

Baird's analysis indicates that the current financial challenges and the cautious first-quarter outlook for VF Corp are likely to weigh on the stock's performance in the immediate future.

The firm's maintained Neutral rating suggests that Baird advises investors to remain on the sidelines until VF Corp's strategic actions can potentially lead to an improved financial position and investor confidence.

InvestingPro Insights

As VF Corp (NYSE:VFC) navigates a challenging economic landscape, the company's stock price has been trading near its 52-week low, reflecting investor concerns. According to InvestingPro data, VFC's market capitalization stands at $4.79 billion, with a negative P/E ratio, highlighting the company's recent lack of profitability. However, the gross profit margin remains robust at over 52%, indicating a strong underlying business despite recent headwinds. Analysts remain optimistic about VF Corp's future, expecting net income and sales growth in the current year.

Two key InvestingPro Tips for VF Corp suggest that the company's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield and that it has maintained dividend payments for an impressive 54 consecutive years. These factors may interest long-term investors seeking potential value plays and income stability. For more in-depth analysis and additional tips on VF Corp, including the potential for profitability this year, visit InvestingPro. Subscribers can access even more insights and use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. There are 10 more InvestingPro Tips available that could provide further clarity on the company's financial health and stock performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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