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UBS keeps Dave & Buster's stock at Neutral, acknowledges sales pressures and opportunities

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 13/06/2024, 11:36
PLAY
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On Thursday, UBS reiterated its Neutral rating on Dave & Buster's (NASDAQ:PLAY) stock with a steady price target of $56.00. The firm's assessment follows Dave & Buster's first-quarter earnings report, which highlighted ongoing challenges such as persistent sales headwinds and margin pressures. Despite these issues, the company has updated its strategic initiatives and identified additional long-term opportunities.

The report indicated that Dave & Buster's faced continued traffic pressures in the first quarter, with sales remaining negative into the second quarter to date. However, some positive developments in the company's long-term strategic plans were noted.

The focus for the near term is on the trajectory of same-store sales (sss) and the timing of a shift to positive comparable store sales, which the firm believes appears difficult for the second quarter despite easier comparisons year-over-year.

UBS also pointed out the importance of tracking the company's progress against its long-term strategic plans and the potential contribution to EBITDA. While acknowledging that Dave & Buster's has attractive margins, solid unit growth, and EBITDA potential that could lead to upside for the shares relative to consensus forecasts, the firm currently sees the risk/reward balance as neutral. This view is due to the increasingly challenging macroeconomic environment and limited visibility into near-term sales trends and a shift to positive trends.

In summary, UBS's stance on Dave & Buster's reflects cautious optimism about the company's strategic initiatives against a backdrop of near-term operational challenges. The firm's unchanged price target suggests that while there may be potential for the company's stock, current market conditions and sales uncertainties are keeping expectations in check.

In other recent news, Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. released their Q1 2024 earnings, reporting a revenue of $588 million and adjusted EBITDA of $159 million. Despite facing challenges in the macro environment, the company noted promising trends in May and early June. Key strategies such as store remodeling, enhancing their food and beverage offerings, and growing their loyalty database have been instrumental in their progress.

Dave & Buster's also announced the expansion of seven new international franchise units and future store openings. The company achieved $25 million in cost savings from the Main Event merger, with a target of an additional $40-60 million. Despite heavier spending on marketing and labor performance issues, the company remains confident in reaching its target of over $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA.

These are among the recent developments for Dave & Buster's. The company is focused on organic growth and capital return to shareholders, with plans to open 10 new stores in 2024 and remodel existing ones. They also aim for a complete fleet remodel by 2026 and leveraging the brand for more franchise agreements. Despite some setbacks, Dave & Buster's outlook remains optimistic.

InvestingPro Insights

As Dave & Buster's (NASDAQ:PLAY) navigates through its operational challenges, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a more nuanced perspective on the company's financial health and market performance. According to recent metrics, Dave & Buster's has a market capitalization of $1.99 billion and is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 17.1. Notably, the company's price has experienced a significant drop over the past three months, with a 19.49% decline, which may reflect investor concerns over the short-term obstacles mentioned by UBS.

InvestingPro Tips for Dave & Buster's highlight that the management's aggressive share buybacks could be a sign of confidence in the company's value. Additionally, despite recent revenue growth of 12.26% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, analysts have revised their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, signaling caution amidst the optimistic view of the company's profitability this year.

For those considering a deeper dive into Dave & Buster's financials and market predictions, InvestingPro offers additional insights and tips. With the use of coupon code PRONEWS24, prospective subscribers can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. Currently, there are 10 more InvestingPro Tips available that could help investors make a more informed decision regarding their investment in Dave & Buster's.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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