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TD Cowen reaffirms 'Buy' on GoodRx stock, cites strong business model and strategic changes

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/06/2024, 11:44
GDRX
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On Monday, TD Cowen expressed continued confidence in GoodRx Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: GDRX) stock, maintaining a Buy rating and a $16.00 price target for the company's shares. The firm highlighted GoodRx as a top small to mid-cap (Smidcap) stock pick, emphasizing the robustness of the company's business model following strategic changes.

GoodRx's shift to direct contracting and integrated service providers (ISP) is seen as a positive move that has bolstered the sustainability of the company's business model. According to TD Cowen, these strategic adjustments have not been fully recognized by the market. The firm anticipates that GoodRx will have clear visibility on its long-term financial goals, which could potentially be underestimated at present.

The company is expected to witness several key developments in the near future. These include the rollout of its ISP, a projected acceleration of its Manufacturer Solutions (Man/Sol) segment in the second half of 2024, and the potential to engage more with underutilized prescribers.

TD Cowen's stance on GoodRx suggests that the firm sees a strong path ahead for the company, with strategic initiatives likely to drive growth and stability. The reiterated price target and Buy rating underscore the firm's belief in GoodRx's value proposition and future prospects.

In other recent news, GoodRx Holdings Inc. has seen an array of strategic and financial developments. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) has raised its price target for GoodRx to $9.50, a positive change from the previous target of $7.00, maintaining an Equalweight rating. This adjustment comes after a discussion with GoodRx's CFO and CAO, who expressed optimism about the company's mid-term goals.

RBC Capital and Barclays (LON:BARC) have also upgraded their ratings for GoodRx to 'Outperform' and 'Overweight', respectively, citing the company's growth opportunities and financial prospects. TD Cowen raised its price target for GoodRx to $16.00, acknowledging the company's strategic shift towards solving insurance coverage gaps.

In addition to these financial updates, GoodRx has announced the appointment of Simon Patterson, a tech veteran from Silver Lake, to its Board of Directors. The company has also forged contracts with five Pharmacy Benefit Managers (PBMs) and seven top-10 pharmacies, contributing to a projected 3-year mid-teens+ EBITDA CAGR.

These recent developments reflect GoodRx's continuous efforts to expand its market presence and diversify its revenue streams. The company's financial targets for 2026, including over $1 billion in revenue and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 35%+, indicate a confident outlook on its growth trajectory.

However, potential disruptions in PBM-retailer relationships and slower-than-expected market penetration may pose challenges to the company's aggressive growth targets.

InvestingPro Insights

Complementing TD Cowen's positive outlook on GoodRx Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: GDRX), InvestingPro data highlights some key financial metrics that may interest investors. With a market capitalization of $3.21 billion and a high gross profit margin of 92.38% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, GoodRx showcases a strong ability to retain earnings from its revenue streams. The company's revenue growth shows an uptick of 7.55% in Q1 2024, indicating a healthy expansion pace.

An InvestingPro Tip that aligns with the firm's confidence is the aggressive share buyback strategy by management, which often signals a bullish stance on the company's valuation. Additionally, GoodRx has demonstrated a high shareholder yield, which could be attractive to investors seeking companies with the potential for capital returns.

It's also worth noting that while GoodRx does not pay a dividend, the company has had a strong return over the last year, with a 55.17% price total return, reflecting investor confidence and market performance. For those interested in further analysis and tips, InvestingPro offers additional insights on GoodRx, including future profitability predictions and valuation multiples. To explore these tips in detail, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/GDRX and consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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