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Stifel cuts Viavi Solutions shares target amid industry-wide demand concerns

Published 06/08/2024, 14:12
VIAV
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On Tuesday, Stifel, a financial services company, adjusted its outlook on Viavi Solutions (NASDAQ:VIAV), reducing the stock's price target to $10.50 from the previous $13.00. Despite the price target cut, the firm maintained its Buy rating on the shares.

The company's financial performance for the June quarter (F4Q24) is anticipated to be in line with or slightly above estimates, despite a 4.6% year-over-year decline and a 2.3% quarter-over-quarter increase. This projection accounts for ongoing challenges in enterprise spending and broader macroeconomic pressures, which may be somewhat balanced by better-than-expected revenues in the telecommunications segment.

Looking ahead to the September quarter (F1Q25), Stifel forecasts the company's financial outlook to be consistent with or marginally above expectations, with projections showing a flat year-over-year performance and a 1.4% decrease from the previous quarter. This expectation takes into account typical seasonal patterns and headwinds from the market transition (MT) recovery, while a modest telecom recovery is expected to continue into the September quarter.

Stifel's commentary suggests that although Viavi Solutions is in a strong position to benefit from the tailwinds of an end demand recovery, the industry is still facing significant challenges. These persistent issues could potentially impact the company's performance in the medium term. The firm's reiteration of the Buy rating comes with the revised 12-month price target of $10.50, reflecting a more cautious outlook amidst the prevailing industry conditions.

In other recent news, Viavi Solutions Inc. has seen a flurry of activity. The company unveiled its NITRO Fiber Sensing technology, designed for real-time monitoring and analysis of critical infrastructure. Furthermore, Viavi's Automated Lab-as-a-Service for Open RAN (VALOR) has become the first Telecom Infra Project (TIP)-authorized test lab, a development expected to streamline the certification process for Open RAN technologies.

In collaboration with Rohde & Schwarz, Viavi has also expanded its testing solutions for Open Radio Unit (O-RU), supporting the commercial deployment of open radio networks. Despite these advancements, analyst firm Rosenblatt Securities downgraded Viavi Solutions' stock from Buy to Neutral, citing concerns over a downturn in Telecom spending and failure to secure key strategic acquisitions.

Financially, Viavi reported Q3 FY2024 net revenue of $246 million, aligning with the lower end of their guidance, and an operating margin of 9.3%, exceeding expectations. For Q4, Viavi anticipates a revenue range of $246 million to $258 million, an operating margin of around 10.6%, and earnings per share between $0.06 and $0.08.

These are the latest developments in Viavi's ongoing efforts to navigate a challenging market while focusing on strategic growth areas.

InvestingPro Insights

As Stifel adjusts its outlook on Viavi Solutions, a closer look at the company's financial health through InvestingPro data reveals some pertinent metrics. Viavi Solutions currently has a market capitalization of $1.63 billion. Despite the challenges noted by Stifel, Viavi's gross profit margin remains strong at 58.59% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, indicating a robust ability to control costs relative to revenue. However, the company's revenue growth has seen a decline of 14.08% over the same period, aligning with Stifel's concerns about industry challenges and macroeconomic pressures.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Viavi Solutions has high shareholder yield and analysts expect net income to grow this year, which could signify potential for recovery and an upside for investors. On the contrary, analysts also anticipate a sales decline in the current year. Moreover, while Viavi Solutions does not pay a dividend, its liquid assets do exceed short-term obligations, which could provide some financial flexibility in navigating the current market landscape.

For investors looking for more in-depth analysis and additional insights, there are 9 more InvestingPro Tips available for Viavi Solutions at Investing.com/pro/VIAV.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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