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Shopify stock initiated with Neutral rating, PT set at $70

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 05/09/2024, 14:04
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On Thursday, Cantor Fitzgerald began covering Shopify (NYSE: NYSE:SHOP) shares, assigning a Neutral rating and a price target of $70.00. The firm acknowledged Shopify as a significant growth story among the companies they monitor. The e-commerce platform has been successful in expanding its merchant base across various sizes and geographies, laying a strong foundation for consistent Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth anticipated over the next two to three years.

Following a challenging period of restructuring in 2023, Shopify has shifted its focus towards controlling fixed costs and improving efficiency. Cantor Fitzgerald's assessment suggests that Shopify's margins have substantial potential for expansion in the medium to long term. Despite this potential, the firm's analysis indicates that Shopify's current market valuation, which is 18 times the forecasted FY25 Gross Profit (GP), already accounts for the possible margin improvements.

The analyst's statement highlighted Shopify's effective strategies in driving merchant growth and establishing a robust groundwork for future GMV expansion. The company's efforts to manage fixed costs post-restructuring were also noted as a positive step towards achieving better efficiency in operations. Cantor Fitzgerald sees these factors as key drivers for Shopify's healthy growth trajectory.

However, the firm also pointed out that the current stock valuation appears to encapsulate the anticipated upside in margins. This suggests that the market has already priced in the expected benefits of the company's efficiency measures and potential margin growth. According to the firm, for the stock to maintain its valuation, Shopify would need to consistently deliver positive revisions in its EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes).

The $70 price target set by Cantor Fitzgerald for Shopify reflects the firm's neutral stance on the stock over the next 12 months. This target is based on the analysis of the company's growth prospects, cost management efforts, and current market valuation in relation to future earnings potential.

In other recent news, Shopify has been the focus of several analyst assessments following its strong Q2 performance. The company reported a significant 25% year-over-year revenue growth for the second quarter, along with a notable increase in gross profit.

Shopify's operating expenses have decreased compared to the previous quarter, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of profitability. Roth/MKM maintained a Buy rating on Shopify, emphasizing the company's potential to scale its operations effectively. Meanwhile, Piper Sandler retained a Neutral stance, focusing on the company's sales and marketing expense growth.

Several firms adjusted their price targets for Shopify. Mizuho Securities increased its price target to $68, citing the company's strong Q2 performance. Loop Capital also raised its price target to $80, while Citi reduced its price target to $90, despite maintaining a Buy rating. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also expressed confidence in Shopify's future financial performance by raising the company's price target to $85.

The company's point-of-sale solution registered a 27% increase in offline Gross Merchandise Volume year-over-year, and the company has made significant strides in B2B commerce and international expansion.

InvestingPro Insights

As Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) navigates through a period of restructuring and refocusing on cost efficiency, the latest data from InvestingPro offers a perspective on the company's financial health and market position. With a market capitalization of $90.61 billion and a forward-looking P/E ratio of 70.6, Shopify is recognized as a significant player in the IT Services industry. The company's strategy of holding more cash than debt on its balance sheet, as highlighted by an InvestingPro Tip, provides it with financial flexibility in its operations and growth initiatives.

Shopify's net income is expected to grow this year, and with 30 analysts revising their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, there is an optimistic outlook for the company's profitability. This aligns with Cantor Fitzgerald's recognition of Shopify's potential for Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth. Additionally, the company's revenue has grown by 23.18% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, demonstrating its continued expansion in the e-commerce market.

The InvestingPro platform provides additional insights, with more than 16 tips available for Shopify, including the company's trading patterns and valuation multiples. For investors looking to delve deeper into Shopify's financial metrics and analyst predictions, these tips can offer valuable guidance for making informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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