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SentinelOne shares target cut by Barclays on ARR miss

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 31/05/2024, 11:12
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On Friday, Barclays (LON:BARC) adjusted its outlook on SentinelOne Inc (NYNYSE:SE: S) shares, reducing the cybersecurity firm's price target to $22 from $27, while sustaining an Equalweight rating. The revision follows SentinelOne's first-quarter earnings for the fiscal year 2025, which surfaced with mixed results.

The company's net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $38 million fell short of the $41 million anticipated by the analyst, attributed to a tough macroeconomic environment, particularly within the small and medium-sized business (SMB) sector, and shifts in the go-to-market strategy under a new Chief Revenue Officer (CRO).

SentinelOne's performance in the first quarter led Barclays to revise its full-year net new ARR forecast down to $192 million. This represents a high-20s percentage year-over-year growth based on the base ARR.

Despite the lower ARR estimate, the firm anticipates growth to be skewed towards the second half of the year, expecting contributions from new products, improved pipeline commentary, and enhancements in the go-to-market (GTM) approach. The price target of $22 is now set using a 7x sales multiple.

A positive development for SentinelOne was the achievement of positive Free Cash Flow (FCF) in the first quarter, a milestone reached ahead of the company's fourth-quarter target. The company remains focused on reaching positive EBIT by the year's end.

The analyst noted that while striving for financial discipline is strategically beneficial for SentinelOne, it presents a balancing act between growth and profitability, a common challenge for companies at this stage of maturity.

The report also highlighted the impact of the current macroeconomic conditions and internal changes on SentinelOne's business trajectory.

As the company navigates these challenges, the market will be observing how the new CRO's strategies and the anticipated second-half product launches will influence SentinelOne's financial performance and growth prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent adjustments to SentinelOne's outlook by Barclays, it's essential to consider additional metrics that can provide investors with a broader picture of the company's financial health and market performance. InvestingPro data indicates a market capitalization of $6.05 billion for SentinelOne, reflecting its scale in the cybersecurity sector. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, the company has achieved a substantial gross profit margin of 71.14%, suggesting a strong underlying business model capable of generating significant revenue relative to the cost of goods sold.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that SentinelOne holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide some financial flexibility in the current tough macroeconomic environment. Moreover, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, further reinforcing its capacity to manage short-term financial commitments. These factors are particularly relevant as the company aims to reach positive EBIT by the end of the year and continues to adapt its go-to-market strategy under new leadership.

Investors interested in deeper analysis can find additional InvestingPro Tips on SentinelOne's financials and market performance, including analyst predictions and valuation multiples, by visiting InvestingPro. To gain access to these valuable insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With more tips available on InvestingPro, investors can make more informed decisions based on comprehensive data and expert analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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