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Semtech shares hold Buy rating on AI prospects

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 18/09/2024, 16:10
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On Wednesday, B.Riley maintained a positive stance on Semtech Corp . (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMTC (NASDAQ:SMTX)) shares, reiterating a Buy rating and a $61.00 price target for the company's stock. The endorsement follows a recent conference where Semtech management discussed the long-term potential of AI-related interconnect technologies.

The analyst highlighted the emerging opportunity in active copper interconnects, initially driven by NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA).'s Blackwell systems, and expanding to additional customers with similar needs.

The firm sees a significant growth trajectory for Semtech, with the potential for its interconnect business to increase from a forecasted $65 million to approximately $250 million in the next three to four years. This growth is supported by the high gross margins historically seen in this sub-segment, suggesting a substantial positive impact on earnings per share (EPS).

Despite concerns regarding a potential year-over-year decline in iPhone 16 pre-orders reported this week, the analyst believes there are factors that may offset the impact on Semtech's Protection and Proximity Sensing segment. The overall sentiment towards Semtech's long-term growth prospects remains upbeat, particularly in its high-margin core business areas.

The analyst also noted that Semtech's performance year-to-date has been strong, despite a significant decline in the previous two years. With a forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25 times, which is considered moderate within a 14-year historical context, B.Riley sees a nearly 44% upside to their maintained $61 price target.

Moreover, the firm anticipates that further debt reduction and strategic carve-outs, which are a priority for Semtech's executive team, could provide additional support to the company's valuation.

In other recent news, Semtech Corporation has been the subject of positive analyst attention following its strong financial performance. The company reported Q2 sales of $215.4 million, exceeding expectations, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.11. Semtech's third-quarter projections include revenues of $233 million and earnings per share of $0.23, with analysts from Benchmark, Piper Sandler, and Stifel maintaining positive ratings on the company's growth prospects.

Semtech's Advanced Communications Controller (ACC) has started generating revenue, and the company expects continued growth in this area through 2025. The firm is also gaining traction in the Low Power Optical (LPO) market, with expected revenues from this venture in the second half of fiscal year 2026. This is in addition to a 37% sequential increase in revenues from Semtech's LoRa technology.

In terms of future expectations, analysts predict that Semtech's Active Copper Cable solution for AI datacenters and its Linear Pluggable Optics will be significant drivers of growth. The company is preparing to start shipments for a market of 30 million units of its industry-leading Linear Pluggable Optics in the latter half of FY 2026. These recent developments indicate Semtech's strategic focus on revenue acceleration and its commitment to capitalize on market opportunities.


InvestingPro Insights


According to InvestingPro data, Semtech Corp. (NASDAQ: SMTC) boasts a market capitalization of $3.19 billion, indicating its substantial presence in the industry. Despite a recent revenue contraction of 0.58% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2025, the company has managed to maintain a high gross profit margin of nearly 50%. This aligns with B.Riley's observation of Semtech's historically high gross margins, particularly in its interconnect business.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Semtech has been experiencing strong price returns, with an impressive 74.85% increase over the past year and significant gains over the last three and six months. This performance is reflective of the positive sentiment towards the company's long-term growth prospects.

Moreover, the fact that 8 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period further reinforces the optimism surrounding Semtech's financial outlook. For those interested in deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive view of the company's potential.

It is worth noting that the company is expected to turn profitable this year, as per analyst predictions. This anticipated shift could further enhance investor confidence and support the stock's valuation. To explore more about Semtech's financial health and future projections, investors can access a wealth of information and insights on InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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